IA · sistemaBureau of Economic Analysis · 1 fuenteImpacto 3mixto
U.S. growth accelerates to 3.4% as quarterly inflation cools
The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2 percent in the second, the BEA’s advance estimate shows. Investment and government spending drove the acceleration, while exports fell. Private domestic final sales rose 4.9 percent, pointing to stronger underlying demand. Quarterly PCE inflation slowed to 2.1 percent at an annual rate. These are preliminary estimates; the next GDP release is due November 25.
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The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2 percent in the second, the BEA’s advance estimate shows. Investment and government spending drove the acceleration, while exports fell. Private domestic final sales rose 4.9 percent, pointing to stronger underlying demand. Quarterly PCE inflation slowed to 2.1 percent at an annual rate. These are preliminary estimates; the next GDP release is due November 25.
Otra perspectiva: Limitation: These are advance estimates; the second estimate is scheduled for November 25, 2026.
IA · sistemaBureau of Economic Analysis · 1 fuenteImpacto 3mixto
U.S. PCE inflation reaches 3.6% as real income falls
U.S. consumer prices rose 3.6 percent over the year to September, while core PCE inflation was 3.1 percent, the BEA reported. Monthly prices rose 0.5 percent, outpacing the 0.2 percent gain in disposable income. After inflation, disposable income fell 0.3 percent and spending rose less than 0.1 percent. The release shows a squeeze on purchasing power despite higher cash spending. The next report is due November 25.
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U.S. consumer prices rose 3.6 percent over the year to September, while core PCE inflation was 3.1 percent, the BEA reported. Monthly prices rose 0.5 percent, outpacing the 0.2 percent gain in disposable income. After inflation, disposable income fell 0.3 percent and spending rose less than 0.1 percent. The release shows a squeeze on purchasing power despite higher cash spending. The next report is due November 25.
Tesis: AI interpretation: September’s price increases outpaced disposable income growth, squeezing purchasing power.
IA · sistemaInvesting.com · 1 fuenteImpacto 2mixto
UK factory output accelerates, but costs stall hiring
Britain’s manufacturing PMI rose to 52.8 in October from 51.9, Reuters reports, confirming the flash estimate. The output index reached 53.6, its highest since September 2024, as domestic and overseas demand improved. The recovery has a cost: input prices rose at their fastest pace since June, and employment growth stopped. The survey predates the budget, so it does not measure businesses’ response to the new fiscal measures.
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Britain’s manufacturing PMI rose to 52.8 in October from 51.9, Reuters reports, confirming the flash estimate. The output index reached 53.6, its highest since September 2024, as domestic and overseas demand improved. The recovery has a cost: input prices rose at their fastest pace since June, and employment growth stopped. The survey predates the budget, so it does not measure businesses’ response to the new fiscal measures.
Otra perspectiva: Limitation: the survey predates the budget and does not measure its effects.
Más noticias de la agenda 4Impacto 2U.S. wage growth trails benefits as real pay falls
U.S. employment costs rose 0.8% in the third quarter, down from 0.9% in the prior quarter, InvestingLive reports. Wages rose 0.7%, while benefits increased 0.9%. Annual civilian compensation growth was 3.4%, with benefits growing faster than wages. Private-industry wages fell 0.6% after inflation over the year, showing that higher nominal pay did not preserve purchasing power.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 fuente · 30 oct 12:30 UTC
Abrir la noticiaImpacto 1Fed holds rates at 3-3/4 to 4 percent, with two dissenters seeking a rise
The Federal Open Market Committee maintained the federal funds target range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent on October 28 in a 10 – 2 vote. Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack dissented, preferring a 1/4 percentage point increase. The statement describes strong economic expansion, resilient domestic spending and little change in unemployment. Inflation remains elevated, and the Committee says additional information will help determine the policy stance needed to return inflation to its 2 percent goal.
Federal Reserve · 1 fuente · 28 oct 18:00 UTC
Abrir la noticiaImpacto 1U.S. confidence improves, but consumers plan less spending
InvestingLive reports that U.S. consumer confidence improved in October. The Present Situation Index reached 120.4, versus 111.8 previously, while expectations rose to 72.6 from 65.7. The prior headline reading was revised from 81.9 to 84.2. Conference Board economist Fergus McCormick linked the recovery to better business perceptions and easing gasoline prices, but said the longer downward trend persisted and consumers planned less spending on services and durable goods.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 fuente · 27 oct 14:00 UTC
Abrir la noticiaImpacto 1U.S. core capital-goods orders miss expectations in September
InvestingLive reports that September U.S. non-defense capital-goods orders excluding aircraft rose +0.5%, below +0.7% expected, following +1.6% previously. Orders excluding transportation increased +0.5% against +0.6% expected, after +0.3%. The report describes core capital-goods orders as a proxy for business equipment investment plans. It cautions that advance durable-goods figures are revised in the subsequent factory-orders report, with potentially significant changes in volatile categories.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 fuente · 27 oct 12:30 UTC
Frisby favours oil, with longer-term Bitcoin and gold targets
IA · sistema
Dominic Frisby favours oil and oil stocks, arguing supply disruptions could push oil to $150 and then $200 a barrel; he gives no firm deadline. In this Kitco NEWS interview, he targets Bitcoin at $200,000 in the next cycle, roughly 1,000 days away, and gold at $7,000–$10,000 by decade-end. He expects gold’s consolidation to continue near term. His broader argument is that measuring wealth in gold reveals purchasing-power losses hidden by currency totals, while higher borrowing costs squeeze households and governments.