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EURUSD—
1 storyHigh impact only
Summary language English
Latest news
Oct 28
Low impactwww.rbnz.govt.nzOct 28 01:00AI thesis not measured

RBNZ holds OCR at 2.75 percent in split vote; tightening remains conditional

Source: www.rbnz.govt.nz · 01:00
Show on chart
AI · systemfrom 1 sources · updated at 19:04

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand held its OCR at 2.75 percent on October 28, with four members favouring a hold and three a 25-basis-point increase. Annual inflation slowed to 3.7 percent in the September quarter from 4.1 percent in June. The Committee nevertheless expects 4.4 percent in December, largely reflecting fuel futures prices. It says tighter policy is likely but conditional on the outlook, as domestic demand remains subdued and the economic recovery uneven.

Related currencies / asset groups: NZD

ThesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced
  1. The hold majority favoured more time to assess the effects of recent increases and risks to the uneven recovery.

  2. The Committee voted 4 - 3 to hold the OCR at 2.75 percent.

    www.rbnz.govt.nz
  3. The Committee says tighter monetary policy is likely to be required but remains conditional on the economic outlook.

    www.rbnz.govt.nz
Counter-thesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced
  1. Three members favoured an immediate rise because persistent core inflation could become entrenched.

What the market did AUDNZD · 1 min · ±30 min around the story

extreme +195 pips30 min later +157 pips
−20−10±0+10+20+30+40+50+60+70+80+90+100+110+120+130+140+150+160+170+180+190−30 min−150+15+30 min01:00 story
Spread
2.5→12.1 pips
widened for 5 min after the story

Ideas linked to this story sealed when published · the price writes the result

No ideas are linked to this story yet.

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Full calendar

Sources

90 days
ReliabilityAvg. move after events
Source reliability considers corrections, primary reporting and consistency with other sources. Price movement is the average absolute change in EURUSD around publication. The two measures are independent.

AI thesis accuracy

90 days

Not measured yet.

Alerts

EURUSD news
When a high-impact story breaksonce thesis and counter-thesis are ready
±15 pips within 30 min of a storyif the price reaction crosses the threshold