Willow Trail · strategy profile

Willow Trail · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−0.2%	−11	2	1
This month	−0.6%	−47	15	4
This year	−4.3%	−320	179	57

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	+0.1	−0.3	−1.9	−0.5	−0.3	−0.3	−0.4	−0.1	+0.2	−0.2	+0.1	−0.1	−3.6
2021	+0.1	−0.4	−0.4	−0.7	−0.8	−0.3	+0.8	0.0	+0.4	−0.8	0.0	+0.2	−1.9
2022	−0.6	−0.4	−0.3	+0.2	−1.1	0.0	−0.7	−0.7	−0.2	−1.3	−0.7	−0.5	−6.2
2023	−0.6	−0.6	−0.5	−0.5	−0.7	−1.1	−0.3	+0.5	+0.1	−1.1	+0.1	0.0	−4.6
2024	0.0	+0.2	−0.4	−1.9	−0.3	−0.4	−0.7	−1.5	−0.4	−0.1	−0.1	−0.7	−6.3
2025	+0.3	−0.5	0.0	−0.6	−0.4	−0.3	−0.1	−0.1	−0.5	−0.6	−0.6	−0.7	−4.2
2026	−0.6	−0.9	−0.4	−0.2	−0.9	+0.4	−0.3	−0.7	−0.2	−0.7	0.0	·	−4.4

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −27.0%.

Max daily drawdown: −1.2%
Max weekly drawdown: −1.2%
Max drawdown · equity: −27.0%
Max drawdown · balance: −27.0%
Absolute drawdown: −$2,685
Longest drawdown: 2490 days · Oct
Recovery factor: −1.0
Max simultaneous risk: 5.2%

Symbol split

90 days

AUDUSD

100%+26.8%

Long 0% · Short 100%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 23% · Tue 18% · Wed 22% · Thu 19% · Fri 18% · 41% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 1,508 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners✓ Rarely holds over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 1% · 1–4h 98% · 4–12h 0% · over 12h 1%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics1,508 closed trades

Trades1,508

Won / lost568 / 940

Long win rate0% (0)

Short win rate38% (1,508)

Avg win+$6.8 · 6.8 pip

Avg loss−$7.0 · −6.9 pip

Best trade+$20 · Sep 11

Worst trade−$105 · Oct 26

Total pips−2,621

Lots150.8

Commission + swap−$60

Expectancy / trade−$1.8

Profit factor0.59

Sharpe−3.61daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.2 (78%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$9.8

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.02%

Recovery factor−1.0

Winning streak7 (+$29)

Losing streak16 (−$109)

Avg holding time1h 32m

Trades / week4.2

Risk / trade5.2%

Monthly average−0.4%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Oct 30 08:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70284 → 0.70240	1h 0m	+4.4	+$4	—
Oct 29 01:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70488 → 0.70644	1h 0m	−15.6	−$16	—
Oct 27 18:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70293 → 0.70282	1h 0m	+1.1	+$1	—
Oct 26 00:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70259 → 0.70314	1h 0m	−5.5	−$6	—
Oct 25 22:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70343 → 0.70386	1h 0m	−4.3	−$4	—
Oct 21 14:45	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70244 → 0.70256	1h 0m	−1.2	−$1	—
Oct 16 16:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69563 → 0.69474	1h 0m	+8.9	+$9	—
Oct 16 14:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69513 → 0.69578	1h 0m	−6.5	−$7	—
Oct 16 00:45	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69176 → 0.69213	1h 0m	−3.7	−$4	—
Oct 13 21:15	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69825 → 0.69808	1h 0m	+1.7	+$1	—
Oct 9 11:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69791 → 0.69813	1h 0m	−2.2	−$2	—
Oct 9 00:15	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69579 → 0.69621	1h 0m	−4.2	−$4	—
Oct 8 20:45	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69566 → 0.69600	1h 0m	−3.4	−$3	—
Oct 6 01:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69657 → 0.69720	1h 0m	−6.3	−$6	—
Oct 5 22:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69630 → 0.69731	1h 0m	−10.1	−$10	—
Oct 2 12:15	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69348 → 0.69407	1h 0m	−5.9	−$6	—
Oct 1 08:45	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69395 → 0.69381	1h 0m	+1.4	+$1	—
Sep 30 02:45	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69616 → 0.69684	1h 0m	−6.8	−$7	—
Sep 30 01:15	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69858 → 0.69929	1h 0m	−7.1	−$7	—
Sep 25 14:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70227 → 0.70179	1h 0m	+4.8	+$5	—
Sep 24 10:15	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70257 → 0.70322	1h 0m	−6.5	−$7	—
Sep 24 07:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70295 → 0.70355	1h 0m	−6	−$6	—
Sep 23 02:15	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.71119 → 0.71032	1h 0m	+8.7	+$9	—
Sep 23 01:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.71114 → 0.71167	1h 0m	−5.3	−$5	—
Sep 21 15:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.71276 → 0.71267	1h 0m	+0.9	+$1	—

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