Fern Willow · strategy profile

Fern Willow · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

…

Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

If you had copied

StartAmount$

Copy stop

Replaying the record with these settings…

Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	+0.2%	+13	1	1
This week	0.0%	+3	6	3
This month	−0.7%	−46	22	8
This year	−7.3%	−530	210	88

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−0.3	−0.3	+1.6	−0.7	−1.6	+0.8	−1.1	+0.2	+0.8	−1.5	−0.3	+0.9	−1.5
2021	0.0	−1.4	−1.2	0.0	−1.6	+0.1	+0.3	−0.3	−0.1	−1.6	+0.1	+0.2	−5.3
2022	−0.5	−0.1	−0.6	−0.5	−1.7	+0.5	+1.1	+0.6	−0.8	−1.4	−0.7	+1.1	−3.0
2023	−0.9	0.0	−1.3	−1.2	−0.8	−1.1	−2.3	+0.2	−0.8	−2.0	−1.1	+0.4	−11.1
2024	−0.3	−0.9	−0.6	0.0	+0.5	0.0	−0.6	−0.3	−0.6	−0.8	−0.9	+1.2	−3.4
2025	−0.8	−0.3	−1.6	+1.3	−0.7	−0.1	−1.1	+0.3	−0.1	−0.2	−0.3	−0.2	−4.0
2026	−1.8	−0.6	−0.7	−1.0	−0.6	+0.2	−1.3	−0.7	−0.7	−0.5	+0.1	·	−7.5

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −31.6%.

Max daily drawdown: −1.1%
Max weekly drawdown: −2.1%
Max drawdown · equity: −31.6%
Max drawdown · balance: −31.6%
Absolute drawdown: −$3,056
Longest drawdown: 2408 days · Nov
Recovery factor: −1.0
Max simultaneous risk: 5.6%

Symbol split

90 days

AUDUSD

100%+30.4%

Long 52% · Short 48%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 17% · Tue 23% · Wed 21% · Thu 21% · Fri 19% · 48% in the London session

Behaviour

from 1,697 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners✓ Rarely holds over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 99% · 4–12h 0% · over 12h 1%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics1,697 closed trades

Trades1,697

Won / lost764 / 933

Long win rate46% (876)

Short win rate44% (821)

Avg win+$12.1 · 12.2 pip

Avg loss−$13.2 · −13.1 pip

Best trade+$96 · Mar 13

Worst trade−$84 · Apr 14

Total pips−2,908

Lots169.7

Commission + swap−$136

Expectancy / trade−$1.8

Profit factor0.75

Sharpe−1.87daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.3 (82%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$17.5

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.02%

Recovery factor−1.0

Winning streak7 (+$123)

Losing streak10 (−$74)

Avg holding time3h 40m

Trades / week4.8

Risk / trade5.6%

Monthly average−0.4%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 3 04:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69992 → 0.69865	3h 0m	+12.7	+$13	—
Nov 2 18:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70185 → 0.70094	3h 0m	−9.1	−$9	—
Oct 30 05:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70362 → 0.70387	3h 0m	+2.5	+$3	—
Oct 29 19:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70401 → 0.70296	3h 0m	−10.5	−$11	—
Oct 28 19:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70420 → 0.70543	3h 0m	+12.3	+$12	—
Oct 28 03:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70377 → 0.70323	3h 0m	−5.4	−$5	—
Oct 27 14:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70338 → 0.70281	3h 0m	−5.7	−$6	—
Oct 27 05:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70266 → 0.70194	3h 0m	−7.2	−$7	—
Oct 23 11:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70230 → 0.70162	3h 0m	−6.8	−$7	—
Oct 22 15:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70120 → 0.70120	3h 0m	0	$0	—
Oct 21 11:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70270 → 0.70332	3h 0m	+6.2	+$6	—
Oct 21 03:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70130 → 0.70163	3h 0m	+3.3	+$3	—
Oct 20 18:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69992 → 0.70012	3h 0m	−2	−$2	—
Oct 16 19:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69482 → 0.69417	3h 0m	+6.5	+$7	—
Oct 15 15:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69100 → 0.69217	3h 0m	−11.7	−$12	—
Oct 14 21:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69684 → 0.69695	3h 0m	+1.1	$0	—
Oct 13 09:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69659 → 0.69706	3h 0m	+4.7	+$5	—
Oct 9 04:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69662 → 0.69752	3h 0m	+9	+$9	—
Oct 8 17:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69547 → 0.69514	3h 0m	−3.3	−$3	—
Oct 8 11:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69607 → 0.69381	3h 0m	−22.6	−$23	—
Oct 8 06:00	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69630 → 0.69463	3h 0m	−16.7	−$17	—
Oct 7 07:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69697 → 0.69727	3h 0m	−3	−$3	—
Oct 2 18:30	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69544 → 0.69519	3h 0m	+2.5	+$3	—
Oct 1 18:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69259 → 0.69154	3h 0m	+10.5	+$11	—
Sep 30 05:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69662 → 0.69732	3h 0m	−7	−$7	—

1–25 of 1697

Fern Willow◇Strategy

Rules

Research records

Version timeline