Fern Bay · strategy profile

Fern Bay · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−0.2%	−15	2	1
This month	−1.5%	−150	8	1
This year	+9.9%	+1,100	92	49

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−2.2	+1.7	−2.2	+5.3	−1.3	+1.2	+3.0	+3.5	−3.2	−0.3	−2.6	+1.3	+4.2
2021	−1.6	+0.9	−1.9	−1.1	+2.3	−2.3	−0.5	−2.0	−0.1	−0.6	−1.0	+2.3	−5.5
2022	−1.8	+3.4	−1.0	+0.1	+2.0	+2.3	+1.6	−1.7	−5.0	−2.4	+3.3	−2.4	−1.7
2023	−1.0	+5.2	−0.6	+1.2	+2.2	−1.4	+1.0	−5.9	−0.8	−0.4	+3.3	+1.8	+4.6
2024	+0.3	−0.8	−1.1	0.0	−0.3	−0.7	−2.9	−0.5	+0.6	−1.7	−1.3	+0.2	−8.2
2025	−0.5	+3.7	−2.2	+1.8	+1.2	+1.5	−2.8	0.0	+2.3	−2.2	−0.1	+1.1	+3.8
2026	−1.1	+5.0	+1.3	−0.9	+4.8	+0.8	+1.4	−0.2	+0.5	−1.5	−0.6	·	+9.5

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −18.4%.

Max daily drawdown: −2.1%
Max weekly drawdown: −2.6%
Max drawdown · equity: −18.4%
Max drawdown · balance: −18.4%
Absolute drawdown: −$2,025
Longest drawdown: 2257 days · Dec
Recovery factor: 0.3
Max simultaneous risk: 2.0%

Symbol split

90 days

AUDUSD

100%+4.7%

Long 58% · Short 42%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 17% · Tue 12% · Wed 8% · Thu 49% · Fri 15% · 44% in the London session

Behaviour

from 778 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 5% · over 12h 95%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics778 closed trades

Trades778

Won / lost385 / 393

Long win rate47% (447)

Short win rate52% (331)

Avg win+$56.3 · 57.7 pip

Avg loss−$53.8 · −52.1 pip

Best trade+$100 · Apr 8

Worst trade−$203 · Sep 15

Total pips+1,767

Lots77.8

Commission + swap−$1,245

Expectancy / trade+$0.7

Profit factor1.02

Sharpe0.21daily returns, annualised

Z-score−0.3 (25%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$68.5

AHPR / GHPR0.01% / 0.01%

Recovery factor0.3

Winning streak12 (+$526)

Losing streak11 (−$408)

Avg holding time3.2 days

Trades / week2.2

Risk / trade2.0%

Monthly average+0.1%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 1 22:03	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70430 → 0.70206	3.6 days	−22.4	−$23	—
Oct 29 07:29	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70330 → 0.70399	3.4 days	+6.9	+$4	—
Oct 25 21:03	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70141 → 0.70257	3.6 days	−11.6	−$13	—
Oct 22 07:37	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69634 → 0.70159	3.4 days	−52.5	−$55	—
Oct 18 21:03	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69390 → 0.69630	3.6 days	−24	−$25	—
Oct 15 07:34	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69737 → 0.69405	3.4 days	−33.2	−$36	—
Oct 11 21:03	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.69513 → 0.69659	3.6 days	−14.6	−$16	—
Oct 8 07:30	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69523 → 0.69537	3.4 days	+1.4	−$1	—
Oct 4 21:03	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.69445 → 0.69430	3.6 days	−1.5	−$3	—
Oct 1 07:34	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70109 → 0.69438	3.4 days	−67.1	−$70	—
Sep 27 21:03	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70215 → 0.70056	3.8 days	−15.9	−$17	—
Sep 24 02:00	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.71232 → 0.70234	3.2 days	+99.8	+$97	—
Sep 20 21:03	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.71149 → 0.71064	3.6 days	+8.5	+$8	—
Sep 17 07:32	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71618 → 0.71163	3.4 days	−45.5	−$48	—
Sep 13 21:03	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.72131 → 0.71584	3.6 days	+54.7	+$54	—
Sep 10 07:36	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71950 → 0.72141	3.4 days	+19.1	+$17	—
Sep 6 21:03	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71738 → 0.71930	3.6 days	+19.2	+$18	—
Sep 3 07:34	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71554 → 0.71695	3.4 days	+14.1	+$12	—
Aug 30 21:03	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71831 → 0.71504	3.6 days	−32.7	−$34	—
Aug 27 07:32	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71617 → 0.71789	3.4 days	+17.2	+$15	—
Aug 23 21:03	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.71219 → 0.71545	3.6 days	+32.6	+$32	—
Aug 20 07:28	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70828 → 0.71178	3.4 days	+35	+$33	—
Aug 16 21:03	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70465 → 0.70776	3.6 days	−31.1	−$32	—
Aug 13 07:32	AUDUSD	BUY	0.1	0.70635 → 0.70481	3.4 days	−15.4	−$18	—
Aug 9 21:04	AUDUSD	SELL	0.1	0.70420 → 0.70603	3.6 days	−18.3	−$19	—

1–25 of 778

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