Lunar Willow · strategy profile

Lunar Willow · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	0.0%	0	0	0
This month	0.0%	0	0	0
This year	−69.0%	−1,847	336	138

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2023	−3.0	−5.4	−7.0	−1.6	−3.3	+2.0	0.0	−6.0	−6.7	−6.3	+1.2	−1.3	−37.5
2024	−0.5	−4.4	−3.1	+2.0	−7.4	−6.8	+7.4	+1.9	−7.4	−4.0	−3.3	−3.1	−28.7
2025	−3.2	−0.6	−11.6	−12.4	−20.5	+0.9	−7.9	−14.3	−4.1	−10.7	−6.4	−6.8	−97.6
2026	−22.0	−3.6	−20.3	−41.6	−11.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	·	−98.8

Risk

—/10

Observed risk (1–10) uses the higher of two classes: historical drawdown and annualized weekly return variability. At least 26 consecutive weekly returns are required; the last observation week is excluded. These are SocialCharts bands, not a guarantee of future loss limits. A dash means unmeasured.

Max daily drawdown: −30.8%
Max weekly drawdown: −34.1%
Max drawdown · equity: −94.6%
Max drawdown · balance: −94.6%
Absolute drawdown: −$9,450
Longest drawdown: 1388 days · May
Recovery factor: −1.0
Max simultaneous risk: 0.0%

Symbol split

90 days

EURJPY

100%+94.5%

Long 56% · Short 44%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 21% · Tue 20% · Wed 20% · Thu 21% · Fri 18% · 45% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 3,799 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners✓ Rarely holds over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 7% · 4–12h 89% · over 12h 4%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics3,799 closed trades

Trades3,799

Won / lost1,712 / 2,087

Long win rate47% (2,112)

Short win rate43% (1,687)

Avg win+$19.1 · 28.3 pip

Avg loss−$20.2 · −29.5 pip

Best trade+$70 · Jan 13

Worst trade−$272 · Sep 22

Total pips−13,052

Lots379.9

Commission + swap−$524

Expectancy / trade−$2.5

Profit factor0.78

Sharpe−3.01daily returns, annualised

Z-score2.1 (96%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$28.2

AHPR / GHPR−0.11% / −0.12%

Recovery factor−1.0

Winning streak9 (+$211)

Losing streak9 (−$272)

Avg holding time6h 26m

Trades / week19.0

Risk / trade0.0%

Monthly average−5.6%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
May 6 04:31	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	184.712 → 183.810	4h 13m	−90.2	−$58	—
May 6 00:11	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.682 → 184.678	4h 40m	+0.4	$0	—
May 5 19:14	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.586 → 184.703	4h 40m	−11.7	−$7	—
May 5 14:27	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.160 → 184.645	4h 40m	−48.5	−$31	—
May 5 09:35	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.725 → 184.124	4h 40m	−39.9	−$25	—
May 5 04:38	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.782 → 183.794	4h 40m	−1.2	−$1	—
May 4 23:49	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.661 → 183.809	4h 40m	−14.8	−$10	—
May 4 18:54	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.968 → 183.773	4h 40m	+19.5	+$12	—
May 4 14:04	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.962 → 183.970	4h 40m	−0.8	−$1	—
May 4 09:11	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.763 → 183.972	4h 40m	−20.9	−$13	—
May 4 03:46	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.226 → 183.328	1h 29m	+89.8	+$57	—
May 4 01:50	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.049 → 184.099	4h 40m	−5	−$3	—
May 3 21:03	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.209 → 184.025	2.2 days	+18.4	+$11	—
May 1 16:54	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.072 → 184.249	4h 40m	−17.7	−$11	—
May 1 11:54	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.510 → 184.015	4h 40m	−50.5	−$32	—
May 1 06:45	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	184.405 → 183.507	4h 29m	+89.8	+$57	—
May 1 01:48	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.619 → 184.423	4h 40m	−80.4	−$51	—
Apr 30 21:05	EURJPY	SELL	0.1	183.719 → 183.643	4h 40m	+7.6	+$4	—
Apr 30 16:21	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	183.130 → 183.746	4h 40m	+61.6	+$39	—
Apr 30 11:36	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	183.897 → 182.995	0h 17m	−90.2	−$58	—
Apr 30 11:15	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	184.418 → 183.516	0h 18m	−90.2	−$57	—
Apr 30 10:53	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	184.850 → 183.948	0h 6m	−90.2	−$57	—
Apr 30 10:44	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	185.403 → 184.501	0h 8m	−90.2	−$57	—
Apr 30 10:29	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	186.429 → 185.527	1h 29m	−90.2	−$57	—
Apr 30 08:55	EURJPY	BUY	0.1	187.189 → 186.287	0h 49m	−90.2	−$57	—

1–25 of 3799

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