Fern Oak · strategy profile

Fern Oak · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−0.3%	−21	5	1
This month	−1.1%	−83	16	5
This year	−4.3%	−337	106	36

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−0.1	−0.8	+0.7	−0.9	−0.1	−0.5	+0.8	+0.1	+0.5	−0.6	−0.1	+0.1	−1.1
2021	−1.0	−0.6	+0.4	−0.4	−0.3	+0.3	−1.8	0.0	−0.6	−0.1	+0.2	−0.7	−4.7
2022	−0.2	+1.8	+0.3	−0.9	+0.1	−1.4	−0.4	−1.1	−1.8	−0.3	+0.2	+0.7	−3.0
2023	−0.6	−0.6	−0.3	−1.1	−1.3	−1.1	+0.6	−1.0	−0.7	−0.5	−0.4	0.0	−7.0
2024	+0.5	−0.6	+0.3	+0.3	−0.5	−0.5	−0.5	−0.4	−0.7	−0.4	−0.7	+0.1	−3.2
2025	+0.3	−0.8	−1.1	−1.2	−0.8	+0.5	+0.2	−0.1	−0.7	−0.2	+0.2	−0.2	−4.1
2026	−1.9	−0.3	−0.3	+0.4	−1.1	+0.5	−0.6	+0.4	−0.4	−0.8	−0.3	·	−4.4

Risk

—/10

Observed risk (1–10) uses the higher of two classes: historical drawdown and annualized weekly return variability. At least 26 consecutive weekly returns are required; the last observation week is excluded. These are SocialCharts bands, not a guarantee of future loss limits. A dash means unmeasured.

Max daily drawdown: −1.2%
Max weekly drawdown: −1.7%
Max drawdown · equity: −24.5%
Max drawdown · balance: −24.5%
Absolute drawdown: −$2,417
Longest drawdown: 2423 days · Nov
Recovery factor: −1.0
Max simultaneous risk: 0.0%

Symbol split

90 days

EURUSD

100%+24.2%

Long 52% · Short 48%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 11% · Tue 21% · Wed 25% · Thu 25% · Fri 19% · 55% in the London session

Behaviour

from 1,121 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners✓ Rarely holds over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 99% · 4–12h 0% · over 12h 1%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics1,121 closed trades

Trades1,121

Won / lost453 / 668

Long win rate42% (586)

Short win rate39% (535)

Avg win+$11.1 · 11.1 pip

Avg loss−$11.1 · −11.1 pip

Best trade+$114 · Feb 27

Worst trade−$89 · Nov 6

Total pips−2,368

Lots112.1

Commission + swap−$49

Expectancy / trade−$2.2

Profit factor0.68

Sharpe−2.94daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.0 (70%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$16.3

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.02%

Recovery factor−1.0

Winning streak6 (+$114)

Losing streak9 (−$77)

Avg holding time1h 51m

Trades / week3.1

Risk / trade0.0%

Monthly average−0.3%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 2 15:10	EURUSD	BUY	0.1	1.12239 → 1.12105	1h 25m	−13.4	−$13	—
Nov 2 10:25	EURUSD	BUY	0.1	1.12230 → 1.12131	1h 25m	−9.9	−$10	—
Oct 30 14:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11757 → 1.11410	1h 25m	+34.7	+$35	—
Oct 30 08:25	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11791 → 1.12010	1h 25m	−21.9	−$22	—
Oct 29 22:25	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11773 → 1.11874	1h 25m	−10.1	−$10	—
Oct 26 20:40	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11786 → 1.11761	1h 25m	+2.5	+$3	—
Oct 26 16:55	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11767 → 1.11841	1h 25m	−7.4	−$7	—
Oct 26 15:25	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11732 → 1.11803	1h 25m	−7.1	−$7	—
Oct 14 20:55	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11494 → 1.11564	1h 25m	−7	−$7	—
Oct 14 14:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11382 → 1.11208	1h 25m	+17.4	+$17	—
Oct 8 14:25	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11817 → 1.12135	1h 25m	−31.8	−$32	—
Oct 8 11:25	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11806 → 1.11783	1h 25m	+2.3	+$2	—
Oct 7 15:40	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11775 → 1.11883	1h 25m	−10.8	−$11	—
Oct 7 13:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11759 → 1.11801	1h 25m	−4.2	−$4	—
Oct 5 08:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11804 → 1.11992	1h 25m	−18.8	−$19	—
Oct 5 04:25	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.11703 → 1.11683	1h 25m	+2	+$2	—
Oct 1 05:40	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.13240 → 1.13211	1h 25m	+2.9	+$3	—
Oct 1 03:40	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.13226 → 1.13241	1h 25m	−1.5	−$2	—
Sep 30 21:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.13232 → 1.13313	1h 25m	−8.1	−$10	—
Sep 29 18:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.13251 → 1.13306	1h 25m	−5.5	−$6	—
Sep 23 09:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.14214 → 1.14146	1h 25m	+6.8	+$7	—
Sep 23 07:40	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.14225 → 1.14242	1h 25m	−1.7	−$2	—
Sep 14 19:10	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.15546 → 1.15582	1h 25m	−3.6	−$4	—
Sep 14 07:55	EURUSD	SELL	0.1	1.15544 → 1.15455	1h 25m	+8.9	+$9	—
Sep 9 15:40	EURUSD	BUY	0.1	1.16530 → 1.16303	1h 25m	−22.7	−$23	—

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