Fern Valley · strategy profile

Fern Valley · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−1.3%	−81	2	1
This month	+0.5%	+43	16	13
This year	−15.5%	−976	174	136

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−0.7	−2.5	+5.4	−3.7	−4.0	−6.7	−1.6	+4.4	+3.4	−1.3	−1.8	−7.0	−15.9
2021	−0.5	+1.1	0.0	−2.4	+1.2	−1.8	−0.7	−3.4	+2.3	−1.4	+0.9	−5.1	−9.6
2022	+1.7	+5.2	+3.3	+4.1	+0.9	+8.2	+1.3	−1.0	−6.9	−7.7	−12.3	+1.7	−1.4
2023	+4.8	−6.9	+2.9	+1.8	+3.0	+0.9	+0.7	−4.0	+1.3	−3.8	−6.5	−1.4	−7.1
2024	+0.7	+1.4	+3.0	−0.7	−1.8	−1.2	−0.3	+2.0	−1.9	+1.9	+1.1	−1.2	+2.9
2025	−1.5	−3.5	+5.9	−2.1	−1.4	−4.2	+5.0	−2.8	−1.6	+3.7	+1.9	+4.3	+3.6
2026	−1.0	−4.0	−5.9	−5.2	+1.6	−3.4	−1.3	−1.6	+5.0	−0.1	−0.4	·	−16.3

Risk

—/10

Observed risk (1–10) uses the higher of two classes: historical drawdown and annualized weekly return variability. At least 26 consecutive weekly returns are required; the last observation week is excluded. These are SocialCharts bands, not a guarantee of future loss limits. A dash means unmeasured.

Max daily drawdown: −4.6%
Max weekly drawdown: −7.8%
Max drawdown · equity: −45.7%
Max drawdown · balance: −45.7%
Absolute drawdown: −$4,255
Longest drawdown: 2420 days · Aug
Recovery factor: −0.9
Max simultaneous risk: 0.0%

Symbol split

90 days

GBPUSD

100%+38.8%

Long 47% · Short 53%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 25% · Tue 22% · Wed 20% · Thu 17% · Fri 16% · 50% in the London session

Behaviour

from 1,910 trades

! Holds losing trades longer! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 5% · 1–4h 34% · 4–12h 31% · over 12h 31%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics1,910 closed trades

Trades1,910

Won / lost1,610 / 300

Long win rate85% (900)

Short win rate84% (1,010)

Avg win+$19.5 · 19.8 pip

Avg loss−$117.3 · −115.1 pip

Best trade+$20 · Oct 28

Worst trade−$311 · Mar 8

Total pips−2,674

Lots191.0

Commission + swap−$1,202

Expectancy / trade−$2.0

Profit factor0.89

Sharpe−0.66daily returns, annualised

Z-score0.4 (32%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$59.7

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.03%

Recovery factor−0.9

Winning streak54 (+$250)

Losing streak3 (−$603)

Avg holding time1.2 days

Trades / week5.4

Risk / trade0.0%

Monthly average−0.5%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 1 22:03	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.32815 → 1.33821	4.6 days	−100.6	−$103	—
Oct 28 06:31	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33070 → 1.32872	5h 46m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 27 20:52	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33241 → 1.33043	12h 52m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 27 07:00	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33464 → 1.33266	19h 45m	+19.8	+$19	—
Oct 26 08:50	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33666 → 1.33468	9h 35m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 25 21:03	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33067 → 1.33676	6.2 days	−60.9	−$64	—
Oct 19 15:18	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33335 → 1.33137	3h 33m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 19 11:21	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.33182 → 1.33380	2.8 days	+19.8	+$19	—
Oct 16 14:02	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.33414 → 1.33612	1h 32m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 16 10:28	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.33252 → 1.33450	1h 58m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 16 07:26	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.33038 → 1.33236	3h 26m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 16 03:46	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32687 → 1.32885	2.1 days	+19.8	+$18	—
Oct 14 02:09	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32473 → 1.32671	1.8 days	+19.8	+$19	—
Oct 12 06:28	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32332 → 1.32530	8h 13m	+19.8	+$20	—
Oct 11 21:03	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32696 → 1.32162	5.3 days	−53.4	−$56	—
Oct 6 11:19	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32402 → 1.32600	1.6 days	+19.8	+$19	—
Oct 4 21:03	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.33029 → 1.32388	4.3 days	−64.1	−$67	—
Sep 30 10:18	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32715 → 1.32913	1h 48m	+19.8	+$20	—
Sep 30 07:21	GBPUSD	BUY	0.1	1.32547 → 1.32745	1.4 days	+19.8	+$19	—
Sep 28 20:15	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.32216 → 1.32533	4.3 days	−31.7	−$33	—
Sep 24 10:21	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.32396 → 1.32198	15h 51m	+19.8	+$18	—
Sep 23 17:06	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.32448 → 1.32250	0h 21m	+19.8	+$20	—
Sep 23 16:35	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.32652 → 1.32454	3h 20m	+19.8	+$20	—
Sep 23 12:46	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.32847 → 1.32649	1h 16m	+19.8	+$20	—
Sep 23 10:31	GBPUSD	SELL	0.1	1.33003 → 1.32805	1h 31m	+19.8	+$20	—

1–25 of 1910

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