Warm Estuary · strategy profile

Warm Estuary · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−1.0%	−125	2	0
This month	−1.2%	−141	8	2
This year	−3.5%	−274	87	38

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2022	+2.9	+0.6	−0.2	+1.6	+1.3	−2.3	+1.2	−0.6	+1.7	−3.7	−4.1	+2.3	+0.6
2023	+0.3	−0.9	−1.0	+1.2	+1.9	−1.6	−0.4	+0.2	+0.6	−1.6	−0.8	−3.7	−6.0
2024	+2.1	0.0	+0.7	+0.1	+1.7	−0.7	0.0	−1.3	+0.8	+1.4	+1.0	−0.6	+5.2
2025	−0.9	+5.0	+0.6	−2.6	−2.7	−2.1	+1.5	−0.9	+1.9	−0.5	+1.8	−0.1	+1.0
2026	+0.5	+1.5	−3.1	−0.7	−0.1	−1.5	+1.8	−2.0	+1.2	−1.0	−0.1	·	−3.4

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −12.4%.

Max daily drawdown: −2.4%
Max weekly drawdown: −2.6%
Max drawdown · equity: −12.4%
Max drawdown · balance: −12.4%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,330
Longest drawdown: 1498 days · Jan
Recovery factor: −0.3
Max simultaneous risk: 3.4%

Symbol split

90 days

USDCAD

100%+3.4%

Long 50% · Short 50%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 20% · Tue 1% · Wed 72% · Thu 5% · Fri 2% · 44% in the London session

Behaviour

from 508 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 0% · over 12h 100%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics508 closed trades

Trades508

Won / lost247 / 261

Long win rate50% (256)

Short win rate47% (252)

Avg win+$44.0 · 62.0 pip

Avg loss−$43.0 · −56.0 pip

Best trade+$292 · Feb 4

Worst trade−$249 · Apr 13

Total pips+690

Lots50.8

Commission + swap−$867

Expectancy / trade−$0.7

Profit factor0.97

Sharpe−0.15daily returns, annualised

Z-score−1.2 (76%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$57.1

AHPR / GHPR−0.01% / −0.01%

Recovery factor−0.3

Winning streak7 (+$201)

Losing streak8 (−$306)

Avg holding time3.4 days

Trades / week2.0

Risk / trade3.4%

Monthly average0.0%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 1 22:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40581 → 1.39572	4.4 days	−100.9	−$75	—
Oct 28 09:10	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40334 → 1.40571	2.5 days	−23.7	−$18	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40476 → 1.40390	4.4 days	−8.6	−$9	—
Oct 21 12:15	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41276 → 1.40448	2.5 days	−82.8	−$60	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42072 → 1.41114	4.4 days	+95.8	+$65	—
Oct 14 09:19	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42705 → 1.42166	2.5 days	+53.9	+$37	—
Oct 11 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42214 → 1.42677	4.4 days	−46.3	−$35	—
Oct 7 09:29	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.42530 → 1.42248	2.5 days	−28.2	−$21	—
Oct 4 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41840 → 1.42474	4.5 days	+63.4	+$42	—
Sep 30 09:02	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41406 → 1.41769	2.5 days	+36.3	+$25	—
Sep 27 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40852 → 1.41332	4.5 days	+48	+$31	—
Sep 23 09:40	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.39776 → 1.40813	2.5 days	+103.7	+$73	—
Sep 20 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.39414 → 1.39783	4.4 days	+36.9	+$24	—
Sep 16 10:15	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.38715 → 1.39280	2.5 days	+56.5	+$40	—
Sep 13 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.37919 → 1.38595	4.3 days	−67.6	−$51	—
Sep 9 14:18	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.38400 → 1.37882	2.5 days	−51.8	−$39	—
Sep 6 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.38410 → 1.38264	4 days	−14.6	−$13	—
Sep 2 18:15	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.38979 → 1.38413	2.5 days	−56.6	−$42	—
Aug 30 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38650 → 1.39019	4.5 days	−36.9	−$29	—
Aug 26 09:16	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38064 → 1.38706	2.5 days	−64.2	−$47	—
Aug 23 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.38753 → 1.38052	4.5 days	−70.1	−$53	—
Aug 19 09:11	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.38741 → 1.38724	2.5 days	−1.7	−$2	—
Aug 16 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39295 → 1.38679	4.5 days	+61.6	+$42	—
Aug 12 09:01	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.39477 → 1.39308	2.5 days	−16.9	−$13	—
Aug 9 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40524 → 1.39390	4.3 days	−113.4	−$84	—

1–25 of 508

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