Fern Water · strategy profile

Fern Water · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	−0.1%	−14	1	0
This week	−0.5%	−59	2	0
This month	−0.5%	−49	16	6
This year	−7.3%	−772	154	57

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2022	−0.4	−0.9	+0.1	−0.1	+1.2	−0.8	+1.5	+0.7	+0.3	+1.2	−3.2	−0.3	−0.6
2023	+0.4	−1.7	−0.3	−0.6	−2.0	+1.7	−1.3	+0.7	+1.9	+0.6	−1.5	−2.0	−4.2
2024	−0.8	+0.6	+0.3	−0.7	−0.5	+0.2	−1.7	−1.1	−0.6	−0.2	−0.8	−1.3	−6.7
2025	+0.7	+2.4	+1.6	+1.8	−2.1	−2.0	+0.5	+0.5	−0.2	−0.9	−0.4	−1.8	+0.2
2026	−1.2	+0.9	−0.1	−1.7	−0.4	−2.0	0.0	−1.2	−1.6	−0.1	0.0	·	−7.2

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −21.6%.

Max daily drawdown: −2.0%
Max weekly drawdown: −2.3%
Max drawdown · equity: −21.6%
Max drawdown · balance: −21.6%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,758
Longest drawdown: 1487 days · Sep
Recovery factor: −0.8
Max simultaneous risk: 3.6%

Symbol split

90 days

USDCAD

100%+17.4%

Long 47% · Short 53%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 23% · Tue 20% · Wed 16% · Thu 20% · Fri 20% · 46% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 894 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 81% · over 12h 20%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics894 closed trades

Trades894

Won / lost410 / 484

Long win rate44% (423)

Short win rate47% (471)

Avg win+$24.5 · 34.0 pip

Avg loss−$24.3 · −32.1 pip

Best trade+$165 · Feb 3

Worst trade−$202 · Nov 4

Total pips−1,604

Lots89.4

Commission + swap−$554

Expectancy / trade−$1.9

Profit factor0.85

Sharpe−0.93daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.5 (87%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$34.0

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.02%

Recovery factor−0.8

Winning streak10 (+$232)

Losing streak13 (−$208)

Avg holding time1.1 days

Trades / week3.5

Risk / trade3.6%

Monthly average−0.3%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 3 02:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39806 → 1.39943	20h 5m	−13.7	−$10	—
Oct 29 10:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40408 → 1.39951	20h 5m	−45.7	−$34	—
Oct 27 18:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40124 → 1.40496	20h 5m	+37.2	+$26	—
Oct 26 20:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40120 → 1.40219	20h 5m	−9.9	−$7	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40116 → 1.40409	2.5 days	−29.3	−$21	—
Oct 22 20:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.40438 → 1.40099	20h 5m	−33.9	−$24	—
Oct 21 20:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40661 → 1.40474	20h 5m	+18.7	+$13	—
Oct 20 16:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.41103 → 1.40488	20h 5m	+61.5	+$43	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41440 → 1.41095	2.3 days	−34.5	−$25	—
Oct 15 06:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42117 → 1.42173	20h 5m	−5.6	−$5	—
Oct 14 04:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.42650 → 1.42004	20h 5m	−64.6	−$46	—
Oct 13 02:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.42582 → 1.42686	20h 5m	+10.4	+$7	—
Oct 9 16:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.42201 → 1.42741	20h 5m	+54	+$37	—
Oct 8 02:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42238 → 1.42543	20h 5m	−30.5	−$23	—
Oct 7 02:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42681 → 1.42222	20h 5m	+45.9	+$32	—
Oct 5 20:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.42535 → 1.42624	20h 5m	−8.9	−$6	—
Oct 2 20:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.42218 → 1.42511	20h 5m	+29.3	+$21	—
Oct 1 08:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41859 → 1.42389	20h 5m	+53	+$36	—
Sep 29 08:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.41674 → 1.41881	20h 5m	−20.7	−$15	—
Sep 27 21:03	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41425 → 1.41332	2.3 days	−9.3	−$7	—
Sep 25 06:05	USDCAD	BUY	0.1	1.41062 → 1.41513	20h 5m	+45.1	+$31	—
Sep 23 14:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40746 → 1.40979	20h 5m	−23.3	−$17	—
Sep 22 06:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40195 → 1.40285	20h 5m	−9	−$7	—
Sep 20 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40097 → 1.39802	2.4 days	+29.5	+$21	—
Sep 18 02:05	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39882 → 1.39876	20h 5m	+0.6	$0	—

1–25 of 894

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