Winter Fern · strategy profile

Winter Fern · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

…

Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

If you had copied

StartAmount$

Copy stop

Replaying the record with these settings…

Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	+0.1%	+18	4	2
This month	+0.9%	+118	12	8
This year	+2.0%	+282	89	44

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2022	−0.3	+0.1	+0.5	+0.1	+0.1	−0.8	−1.8	−0.1	−1.2	+0.3	+0.2	−1.5	−4.4
2023	−0.2	0.0	+0.4	+0.3	+0.4	−0.7	−0.6	0.0	0.0	−1.1	+0.2	−0.4	−1.7
2024	−0.3	−1.0	−0.8	+0.1	−0.3	−0.7	−0.5	+0.8	0.0	0.0	−0.5	+0.1	−2.9
2025	−0.5	−0.1	−0.4	+1.0	+0.4	+0.8	+0.2	−0.6	−0.3	−0.5	−0.3	0.0	−0.3
2026	+0.9	+0.1	−0.6	+0.5	−0.2	0.0	−0.2	+0.4	+0.2	+0.9	0.0	·	+2.0

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −10.4%.

Max daily drawdown: −1.5%
Max weekly drawdown: −1.5%
Max drawdown · equity: −10.4%
Max drawdown · balance: −10.4%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,050
Longest drawdown: 1615 days · Mar
Recovery factor: −0.7
Max simultaneous risk: 3.6%

Symbol split

90 days

USDCAD

100%+7.2%

Long 0% · Short 100%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 19% · Tue 21% · Wed 21% · Thu 21% · Fri 19% · 52% in the London session

Behaviour

from 511 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 93% · over 12h 7%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics511 closed trades

Trades511

Won / lost232 / 279

Long win rate0% (0)

Short win rate45% (511)

Avg win+$16.5 · 22.6 pip

Avg loss−$16.3 · −21.6 pip

Best trade+$99 · Apr 3

Worst trade−$149 · Dec 5

Total pips−784

Lots51.1

Commission + swap−$131

Expectancy / trade−$1.4

Profit factor0.84

Sharpe−1.09daily returns, annualised

Z-score−0.8 (57%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$22.8

AHPR / GHPR−0.01% / −0.01%

Recovery factor−0.7

Winning streak7 (+$99)

Losing streak9 (−$149)

Avg holding time10h 46m

Trades / week2.0

Risk / trade3.6%

Monthly average−0.1%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Oct 30 20:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39522 → 1.39629	7h 45m	−10.7	−$8	—
Oct 30 08:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39692 → 1.39665	7h 45m	+2.7	+$2	—
Oct 29 19:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39745 → 1.39869	7h 45m	−12.4	−$9	—
Oct 29 02:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40197 → 1.39815	7h 45m	+38.2	+$26	—
Oct 23 17:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40001 → 1.40148	7h 45m	−14.7	−$10	—
Oct 22 23:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40205 → 1.40047	7h 45m	+15.8	+$11	—
Oct 22 10:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40340 → 1.40282	7h 45m	+5.8	+$4	—
Oct 20 14:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40759 → 1.40600	7h 45m	+15.9	+$11	—
Oct 19 16:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.40904 → 1.40947	7h 45m	−4.3	−$3	—
Oct 19 07:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.41180 → 1.40917	7h 45m	+26.3	+$19	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.41421 → 1.41114	2.3 days	+30.7	+$21	—
Oct 16 11:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.41732 → 1.41482	7h 45m	+25	+$18	—
Sep 8 21:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.37799 → 1.37834	7h 45m	−3.5	−$3	—
Sep 8 13:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38007 → 1.37864	7h 45m	+14.3	+$10	—
Sep 3 20:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.37911 → 1.37932	7h 45m	−2.1	−$2	—
Sep 3 08:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38361 → 1.38177	7h 45m	+18.4	+$13	—
Aug 21 13:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.37591 → 1.37514	7h 45m	+7.7	+$6	—
Aug 20 13:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.37963 → 1.37774	7h 45m	+18.9	+$14	—
Aug 20 02:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38095 → 1.38089	7h 45m	+0.6	−$1	—
Aug 19 18:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38666 → 1.38158	7h 45m	+50.8	+$37	—
Aug 17 20:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38562 → 1.38761	7h 45m	−19.9	−$14	—
Aug 17 06:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38698 → 1.38637	7h 45m	+6.1	+$4	—
Aug 16 21:03	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.38683 → 1.38679	2.3 days	+0.4	$0	—
Aug 14 12:45	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39179 → 1.38821	7h 45m	+35.8	+$26	—
Aug 12 20:15	USDCAD	SELL	0.1	1.39167 → 1.39439	7h 45m	−27.2	−$20	—

1–25 of 511

Winter Fern◇Strategy

Rules