Mossy Estuary · strategy profile

Mossy Estuary · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	+0.5%	+35	2	1
This month	+3.2%	+218	12	8
This year	−9.8%	−558	131	64

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2022	+0.4	0.0	0.0	+1.8	−0.1	+6.1	+0.9	+0.6	+4.7	−3.6	+3.3	−2.7	+11.4
2023	−0.9	−4.4	+1.2	+1.5	−3.2	−1.0	+1.5	−3.8	+1.8	−0.5	+0.3	−0.6	−8.0
2024	−0.8	−0.7	−0.8	−2.2	−1.1	−0.8	−1.8	+3.7	−2.3	−1.3	−1.9	−3.7	−13.7
2025	−2.2	+4.4	−5.5	+0.2	+2.9	−4.7	−3.1	−1.5	0.0	+3.8	+2.9	+3.0	+0.1
2026	−4.1	+0.3	−4.6	+2.1	−2.3	+0.3	+1.6	−2.4	−3.0	+1.9	−0.8	·	−11.1

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −33.8%.

Max daily drawdown: −5.3%
Max weekly drawdown: −5.5%
Max drawdown · equity: −33.8%
Max drawdown · balance: −33.8%
Absolute drawdown: −$3,918
Longest drawdown: 1487 days · Oct
Recovery factor: −0.6
Max simultaneous risk: 4.5%

Symbol split

90 days

USDCHF

100%+20.8%

Long 50% · Short 50%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 2% · Tue 47% · Wed 2% · Thu 48% · Fri 2% · 55% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 758 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 0% · over 12h 100%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics758 closed trades

Trades758

Won / lost364 / 394

Long win rate50% (379)

Short win rate46% (379)

Avg win+$47.8 · 43.2 pip

Avg loss−$49.2 · −42.0 pip

Best trade+$260 · Nov 11

Worst trade−$479 · Apr 11

Total pips−844

Lots75.8

Commission + swap−$882

Expectancy / trade−$2.7

Profit factor0.90

Sharpe−0.64daily returns, annualised

Z-score2.6 (99%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$64.9

AHPR / GHPR−0.03% / −0.03%

Recovery factor−0.6

Winning streak6 (+$324)

Losing streak9 (−$479)

Avg holding time2.3 days

Trades / week3.0

Risk / trade4.5%

Monthly average−0.4%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 1 22:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82868 → 0.82455	3.6 days	+41.3	+$49	—
Oct 29 06:31	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82933 → 0.82869	1.7 days	−6.4	−$10	—
Oct 27 13:59	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82410 → 0.82894	1.7 days	+48.4	+$58	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82141 → 0.82277	3.6 days	−13.6	−$18	—
Oct 22 06:15	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82234 → 0.82150	1.7 days	+8.4	+$8	—
Oct 20 13:40	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82416 → 0.82279	1.7 days	+13.7	+$16	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.83026 → 0.82372	3.6 days	+65.4	+$78	—
Oct 15 06:14	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.83210 → 0.82995	1.7 days	+21.5	+$24	—
Oct 13 13:39	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82953 → 0.83187	1.7 days	−23.4	−$29	—
Oct 11 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.83263 → 0.82910	3.6 days	+35.3	+$42	—
Oct 8 06:40	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.83191 → 0.83288	1.7 days	−9.7	−$14	—
Oct 6 14:06	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82827 → 0.83198	1.7 days	+37.1	+$44	—
Oct 4 21:03	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.83652 → 0.82765	3.6 days	−88.7	−$108	—
Oct 1 06:13	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.83417 → 0.83622	1.7 days	+20.5	+$23	—
Sep 29 13:41	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82739 → 0.83403	1.7 days	−66.4	−$80	—
Sep 27 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82404 → 0.82759	3.6 days	−35.5	−$44	—
Sep 24 06:46	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82047 → 0.82426	1.7 days	−37.9	−$48	—
Sep 22 14:14	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82124 → 0.82065	1.7 days	+5.9	+$7	—
Sep 20 21:04	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82464 → 0.82183	3.6 days	−28.1	−$35	—
Sep 17 06:12	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.81884 → 0.82456	1.7 days	+57.2	+$67	—
Sep 15 13:40	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.81585 → 0.81863	1.7 days	+27.8	+$33	—
Sep 13 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.80853 → 0.81537	3.6 days	−68.4	−$85	—
Sep 10 06:32	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.80938 → 0.80863	1.7 days	−7.5	−$11	—
Sep 8 13:59	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.80950 → 0.80924	1.7 days	−2.6	−$4	—
Sep 6 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.80667 → 0.80931	3.2 days	−26.4	−$34	—

1–25 of 758

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