Pebble Willow · strategy profile

Pebble Willow · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	−0.2%	−7	1	0
This week	−2.5%	−117	8	3
This month	−6.5%	−311	36	16
This year	−16.1%	−769	363	172

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2022	+0.1	−1.0	−0.4	−1.2	+0.2	+2.0	−3.5	−2.8	−5.4	+1.4	+7.6	−3.5	−6.6
2023	−2.8	+0.1	−1.0	+0.3	+1.6	+2.4	+0.4	−3.6	−2.2	−4.3	−2.2	−2.9	−13.9
2024	−4.0	+0.4	−2.7	−2.2	+0.6	−1.2	+2.0	+1.9	−4.0	−3.2	+3.5	+2.5	−6.2
2025	+0.7	−2.1	−3.5	−5.1	−2.5	+4.5	−3.4	−3.0	−0.6	+0.5	+0.2	+1.1	−13.3
2026	+0.2	−2.2	+0.6	−2.1	−0.4	−1.2	−4.6	−1.5	+2.6	−8.0	−0.5	·	−17.2

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −46.5%.

Max daily drawdown: −5.6%
Max weekly drawdown: −5.4%
Max drawdown · equity: −46.5%
Max drawdown · balance: −46.5%
Absolute drawdown: −$4,467
Longest drawdown: 1599 days · Nov
Recovery factor: −1.0
Max simultaneous risk: 4.9%

Symbol split

90 days

USDCHF

100%+44.7%

Long 51% · Short 49%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 17% · Tue 21% · Wed 22% · Thu 21% · Fri 19% · 41% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 2,069 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 91% · over 12h 9%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics2,069 closed trades

Trades2,069

Won / lost965 / 1,104

Long win rate48% (1,047)

Short win rate46% (1,022)

Avg win+$25.5 · 22.7 pip

Avg loss−$26.3 · −22.8 pip

Best trade+$311 · Jun 16

Worst trade−$258 · Apr 10

Total pips−3,293

Lots206.9

Commission + swap−$658

Expectancy / trade−$2.2

Profit factor0.85

Sharpe−1.14daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.1 (73%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$37.0

AHPR / GHPR−0.03% / −0.03%

Recovery factor−1.0

Winning streak9 (+$199)

Losing streak12 (−$226)

Avg holding time15h 46m

Trades / week8.2

Risk / trade4.9%

Monthly average−1.0%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 3 11:25	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.81873 → 0.81943	12h 0m	−7	−$9	—
Nov 2 22:55	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82106 → 0.81870	12h 0m	+23.6	+$28	—
Nov 2 10:50	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82410 → 0.82140	12h 0m	−27	−$33	—
Oct 30 19:30	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82197 → 0.82418	12h 0m	−22.1	−$27	—
Oct 30 01:45	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82877 → 0.82127	12h 0m	−75	−$92	—
Oct 29 13:00	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82886 → 0.82865	12h 0m	+2.1	+$3	—
Oct 28 19:50	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.83046 → 0.82819	12h 0m	−22.7	−$27	—
Oct 28 02:35	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82860 → 0.82969	12h 0m	+10.9	+$13	—
Oct 27 14:15	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82774 → 0.82856	12h 0m	+8.2	+$10	—
Oct 27 01:00	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82557 → 0.82776	12h 0m	+21.9	+$26	—
Oct 26 09:45	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82460 → 0.82579	12h 0m	+11.9	+$14	—
Oct 23 15:55	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82084 → 0.82518	12h 0m	−43.4	−$53	—
Oct 22 23:00	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82108 → 0.82014	12h 0m	+9.4	+$11	—
Oct 22 04:30	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82482 → 0.82287	12h 0m	+19.5	+$22	—
Oct 21 15:55	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82536 → 0.82544	12h 0m	−0.8	−$1	—
Oct 20 22:30	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82472 → 0.82594	12h 0m	−12.2	−$15	—
Oct 20 09:40	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82613 → 0.82447	12h 0m	−16.6	−$20	—
Oct 19 21:30	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82492 → 0.82570	12h 0m	+7.8	+$9	—
Oct 19 09:15	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82553 → 0.82401	12h 0m	−15.2	−$18	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82365 → 0.82372	2.3 days	−0.7	−$1	—
Oct 16 12:30	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.82791 → 0.82388	12h 0m	−40.3	−$49	—
Oct 15 20:00	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.82995 → 0.82716	12h 0m	+27.9	+$34	—
Oct 15 07:35	USDCHF	BUY	0.1	0.83542 → 0.82942	12h 0m	−60	−$74	—
Oct 14 18:20	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.83205 → 0.83521	12h 0m	−31.6	−$38	—
Oct 14 02:10	USDCHF	SELL	0.1	0.83264 → 0.83228	12h 0m	+3.6	+$4	—

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