Warm Pebble · strategy profile

Warm Pebble · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	+0.2%	+34	1	1
This week	+0.6%	+95	5	4
This month	+1.2%	+197	22	13
This year	−1.6%	−11	271	120

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−4.3	+1.7	+5.6	−2.5	−0.6	+1.1	−2.8	+0.5	+0.1	+1.0	+2.1	−0.4	+1.6
2021	+0.7	−0.5	−0.2	−0.8	0.0	−0.7	+0.2	+0.2	−0.8	+1.4	−0.4	−3.5	−4.3
2022	+1.8	+0.3	+5.7	−0.9	−1.7	+1.5	+0.7	+2.2	+0.4	+3.2	−4.6	+4.2	+12.7
2023	−1.7	−0.5	−0.2	+0.2	+1.8	−4.5	−3.0	−0.3	−1.1	0.0	+0.8	+1.5	−7.1
2024	+1.4	−2.5	+0.7	+0.3	+3.6	+0.3	+3.0	+0.5	−2.4	+2.0	−0.7	−0.6	+5.7
2025	−2.8	−1.2	−1.0	−2.0	−2.4	−2.0	+1.8	−2.4	+1.0	+0.3	+0.2	+0.1	−10.6
2026	+2.7	+0.2	−2.2	+0.2	−3.1	+0.4	+1.9	−1.0	−1.2	+0.2	+0.4	·	−1.4

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −18.2%.

Max daily drawdown: −1.9%
Max weekly drawdown: −3.6%
Max drawdown · equity: −18.2%
Max drawdown · balance: −18.2%
Absolute drawdown: −$675
Longest drawdown: 818 days · Oct
Recovery factor: −0.3
Max simultaneous risk: 0.4%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+5.1%

Long 53% · Short 47%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 14% · Tue 19% · Wed 23% · Thu 23% · Fri 20% · 47% in the Asia session

Behaviour

from 2,257 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 8% · 4–12h 25% · over 12h 67%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics2,257 closed trades

Trades2,257

Won / lost954 / 1,303

Long win rate46% (1,203)

Short win rate38% (1,054)

Avg win+$43.6 · 60.8 pip

Avg loss−$32.3 · −43.9 pip

Best trade+$249 · Nov 10

Worst trade−$130 · Oct 5

Total pips+823

Lots225.7

Commission + swap−$1,233

Expectancy / trade−$0.2

Profit factor0.99

Sharpe−0.09daily returns, annualised

Z-score3.1 (100%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$48.7

AHPR / GHPR−0.00% / −0.00%

Recovery factor−0.3

Winning streak6 (+$244)

Losing streak10 (−$204)

Avg holding time1.1 days

Trades / week6.3

Risk / trade0.4%

Monthly average0.0%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 3 00:28	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.487 → 157.823	1.1 days	+33.6	+$21	—
Nov 1 22:03	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.601 → 157.463	2.7 days	+13.8	+$8	—
Oct 30 05:16	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.729 → 157.503	1.1 days	+22.6	+$14	—
Oct 29 03:19	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.886 → 157.741	1.1 days	−14.5	−$11	—
Oct 28 01:12	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.530 → 157.921	1.1 days	+39.1	+$24	—
Oct 26 23:16	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.977 → 157.486	1.1 days	+50.9	+$32	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.887 → 156.959	2 days	+7.2	+$4	—
Oct 23 19:47	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.890 → 156.912	1.1 days	−2.2	−$2	—
Oct 22 17:14	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.091 → 156.892	1.1 days	+119.9	+$75	—
Oct 21 15:12	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.012 → 158.139	1.1 days	−12.7	−$9	—
Oct 20 12:24	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.560 → 157.958	13h 11m	−60.2	−$38	—
Oct 19 22:59	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.959 → 158.503	1.1 days	+54.4	+$34	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.973 → 157.915	2.7 days	−5.8	−$4	—
Oct 16 02:44	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.863 → 158.011	1.1 days	−14.8	−$10	—
Oct 15 00:31	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.405 → 157.803	21h 58m	−60.2	−$40	—
Oct 14 01:20	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.530 → 158.478	1.1 days	+5.2	+$3	—
Oct 12 23:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.216 → 158.582	1.1 days	+36.6	+$23	—
Oct 11 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.046 → 158.236	2.7 days	+19	+$12	—
Oct 9 02:59	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.819 → 158.076	1.1 days	−25.7	−$17	—
Oct 8 00:15	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.391 → 157.789	21h 59m	−60.2	−$40	—
Oct 7 02:04	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.918 → 158.322	1.1 days	+40.4	+$25	—
Oct 6 00:01	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.816 → 157.925	1.1 days	+10.9	+$6	—
Oct 4 21:04	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.626 → 157.636	2.6 days	−1	−$1	—
Oct 2 06:04	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.239 → 157.637	11h 34m	−60.2	−$39	—
Oct 1 18:02	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.553 → 158.155	2h 41m	−60.2	−$38	—

1–25 of 2257

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