Early Shell · strategy profile

Early Shell · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	0.0%	−4	1	0
This month	−1.0%	−133	8	2
This year	+1.0%	+239	90	59

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−0.5	+0.2	+0.2	−0.5	−0.8	+1.1	−1.8	+0.9	−0.9	−0.5	−2.1	−0.7	−5.5
2021	+0.8	+0.8	+0.7	−1.7	−0.2	−0.6	+0.1	−0.1	0.0	+1.2	+0.6	0.0	+1.3
2022	−0.5	+0.9	+2.3	0.0	−1.8	−0.2	+1.1	+0.9	−1.9	−4.1	+1.6	−4.6	−6.4
2023	−0.6	+1.1	−0.8	−0.3	−0.3	−1.2	−2.4	+1.3	0.0	+0.4	−1.5	−3.3	−7.4
2024	+1.4	0.0	+0.6	+1.3	+1.6	+1.4	−0.8	−0.4	0.0	+0.5	+0.5	+1.6	+7.6
2025	+0.8	−1.9	−0.2	−1.9	−1.3	+0.1	−0.1	−1.0	−1.0	−0.1	+0.2	+1.2	−5.0
2026	+1.1	−0.5	+0.4	+0.6	+0.9	+1.0	−4.6	+1.6	+1.3	−0.5	−0.1	·	+1.2

Risk

—/10

Observed risk (1–10) uses the higher of two classes: historical drawdown and annualized weekly return variability. At least 26 consecutive weekly returns are required; the last observation week is excluded. These are SocialCharts bands, not a guarantee of future loss limits. A dash means unmeasured.

Max daily drawdown: −3.9%
Max weekly drawdown: −5.6%
Max drawdown · equity: −18.1%
Max drawdown · balance: −18.1%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,683
Longest drawdown: 2411 days · Dec
Recovery factor: −0.8
Max simultaneous risk: 0.0%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+13.9%

Long 100% · Short 0%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 20% · Tue 19% · Wed 22% · Thu 18% · Fri 21% · 59% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 666 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 2% · 4–12h 79% · over 12h 20%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics666 closed trades

Trades666

Won / lost341 / 325

Long win rate51% (666)

Short win rate0% (0)

Avg win+$29.8 · 41.7 pip

Avg loss−$35.6 · −47.2 pip

Best trade+$75 · Mar 13

Worst trade−$364 · Dec 20

Total pips−1,122

Lots66.6

Commission + swap−$434

Expectancy / trade−$2.1

Profit factor0.88

Sharpe−0.64daily returns, annualised

Z-score0.5 (40%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$47.7

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.02%

Recovery factor−0.8

Winning streak5 (+$157)

Losing streak7 (−$449)

Avg holding time1.1 days

Trades / week1.9

Risk / trade0.0%

Monthly average−0.2%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 1 22:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.485 → 157.444	2.3 days	−4.1	−$3	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.977 → 156.959	2.5 days	−1.8	−$2	—
Oct 22 12:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.147 → 157.121	20h 50m	−102.6	−$67	—
Oct 16 16:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.132 → 158.287	20h 50m	+15.5	+$9	—
Oct 15 04:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.348 → 157.939	20h 50m	−40.9	−$27	—
Oct 9 08:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.287 → 158.255	20h 50m	−3.2	−$3	—
Oct 7 04:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.119 → 158.395	20h 50m	+27.6	+$17	—
Oct 6 00:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.123 → 157.888	20h 50m	−23.5	−$15	—
Oct 1 01:55	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.401 → 158.199	5h 55m	+79.8	+$49	—
Sep 29 08:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.980 → 157.430	20h 50m	+45	+$28	—
Sep 24 04:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.776 → 157.923	20h 50m	+14.7	+$8	—
Sep 23 00:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.498 → 157.493	20h 50m	−0.5	−$1	—
Sep 20 21:04	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.507 → 156.741	2.5 days	−76.6	−$49	—
Sep 18 02:55	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	155.889 → 156.687	14h 55m	+79.8	+$50	—
Sep 15 08:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	154.589 → 154.989	20h 50m	+40	+$25	—
Sep 10 12:32	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	153.647 → 154.445	16h 32m	+79.8	+$50	—
Sep 9 12:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	154.255 → 153.320	20h 50m	−93.5	−$61	—
Sep 4 03:38	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	155.399 → 156.197	11h 38m	+79.8	+$51	—
Sep 2 04:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.994 → 160.095	20h 50m	+10.1	+$6	—
Aug 30 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.663 → 159.997	2.4 days	+33.4	+$20	—
Aug 27 12:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.378 → 159.432	20h 50m	+5.4	+$2	—
Aug 25 04:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.173 → 159.227	20h 50m	+5.4	+$3	—
Aug 21 08:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.670 → 158.588	20h 50m	−8.2	−$6	—
Aug 18 08:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.249 → 159.655	20h 50m	+40.6	+$25	—
Aug 14 00:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.440 → 159.434	20h 50m	−0.6	−$1	—

1–25 of 666

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