Fern Vale · strategy profile

Fern Vale · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	+5	1	1
This week	0.0%	+1	2	1
This month	+0.1%	+28	8	3
This year	+2.5%	+472	67	33

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	+1.1	+1.4	−1.2	−0.6	−0.3	−0.7	−0.4	−0.1	−0.3	−0.4	−0.3	−0.1	−1.9
2021	−0.8	0.0	+0.3	−0.9	−0.3	−0.2	+0.5	+0.4	+0.2	+1.5	+0.2	−0.9	−0.1
2022	+0.7	−0.4	+0.9	+2.5	−0.5	−0.6	+2.8	−1.2	−0.8	−0.3	−2.0	+3.3	+4.6
2023	+1.6	+0.3	−1.3	−1.6	+0.6	0.0	−1.0	−0.1	−0.4	+1.0	−0.3	+2.1	+1.0
2024	−1.5	+0.5	−0.2	+0.6	+1.1	+0.3	−1.0	−2.5	+1.1	+1.1	+1.4	+0.2	+1.2
2025	−2.6	+0.7	+1.3	+2.6	0.0	−2.0	0.0	−0.7	−1.5	+0.3	+0.1	−0.3	−2.0
2026	0.0	−0.1	+1.5	−0.6	+0.2	+0.7	−0.1	−0.3	+1.2	0.0	0.0	·	+2.5

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −8.5%.

Max daily drawdown: −1.4%
Max weekly drawdown: −1.6%
Max drawdown · equity: −8.5%
Max drawdown · balance: −8.5%
Absolute drawdown: −$893
Longest drawdown: 869 days · Jul
Recovery factor: 0.6
Max simultaneous risk: 0.7%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+4.9%

Long 58% · Short 42%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 18% · Tue 22% · Wed 21% · Thu 19% · Fri 21% · 50% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 601 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 2% · 4–12h 82% · over 12h 17%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics601 closed trades

Trades601

Won / lost290 / 311

Long win rate51% (350)

Short win rate45% (251)

Avg win+$30.9 · 42.8 pip

Avg loss−$27.2 · −36.1 pip

Best trade+$154 · Jan 12

Worst trade−$95 · Aug 28

Total pips+1,185

Lots60.1

Commission + swap−$326

Expectancy / trade+$0.8

Profit factor1.06

Sharpe0.35daily returns, annualised

Z-score−0.5 (35%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$40.2

AHPR / GHPR0.01% / 0.01%

Recovery factor0.6

Winning streak9 (+$285)

Losing streak8 (−$112)

Avg holding time22h 3m

Trades / week1.7

Risk / trade0.7%

Monthly average+0.1%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 3 00:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.765 → 157.818	16h 30m	+5.3	+$3	—
Nov 1 22:03	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.543 → 157.588	2.6 days	−4.5	−$3	—
Oct 27 08:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.585 → 157.735	16h 30m	+15	+$9	—
Oct 23 00:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.227 → 156.233	16h 30m	+99.4	+$63	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.049 → 157.915	2.3 days	−13.4	−$9	—
Oct 15 04:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.455 → 157.864	16h 30m	−59.1	−$39	—
Oct 9 08:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.345 → 158.304	16h 30m	−4.1	−$3	—
Oct 6 04:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.220 → 158.118	16h 30m	−10.2	−$7	—
Oct 1 00:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.890 → 157.780	16h 30m	−89	−$58	—
Sep 29 19:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.372 → 157.251	16h 30m	−12.1	−$8	—
Sep 22 19:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.501 → 157.397	16h 30m	−10.4	−$7	—
Sep 20 21:04	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.507 → 156.741	2.5 days	−76.6	−$49	—
Sep 13 21:04	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	153.697 → 153.548	2.1 days	+14.9	+$9	—
Sep 8 03:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	154.639 → 153.249	16h 30m	+139	+$90	—
Sep 3 07:02	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.784 → 156.786	15h 2m	+199.8	+$126	—
Sep 2 04:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	160.123 → 160.182	16h 30m	+5.9	+$3	—
Aug 30 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.989 → 159.997	2.2 days	+0.8	$0	—
Aug 26 18:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.040 → 159.417	16h 30m	−37.7	−$24	—
Aug 19 23:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.237 → 158.233	16h 30m	+100.4	+$62	—
Aug 19 00:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.733 → 159.482	16h 30m	−25.1	−$16	—
Aug 16 21:03	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.100 → 159.303	2.4 days	−20.3	−$13	—
Aug 13 02:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.147 → 159.457	16h 30m	−31	−$21	—
Aug 9 21:03	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.528 → 157.629	2.1 days	−10.1	−$7	—
Aug 6 12:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.714 → 157.879	16h 30m	−16.5	−$12	—
Jul 31 00:38	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.462 → 160.464	8h 38m	−100.2	−$63	—

1–25 of 601

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