Willow Rain · strategy profile

Willow Rain · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	+0.5%	+61	2	2
This month	+0.8%	+119	8	6
This year	+2.7%	+475	90	42

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−1.1	−1.4	−0.7	+0.6	+1.0	−1.8	+1.8	+0.2	−0.5	−0.9	−0.4	+0.2	−2.9
2021	−0.9	−0.1	−0.8	−1.6	+0.1	+1.9	−1.2	+0.3	−0.3	−0.4	−2.6	0.0	−5.7
2022	−2.0	+0.1	−0.4	−0.4	−1.1	−2.1	+0.5	−1.0	+1.9	−0.6	+0.6	+4.7	+0.2
2023	+1.1	+0.5	+0.5	+0.3	−0.8	+1.6	−2.3	+0.3	+0.5	+1.2	+1.1	+2.9	+6.9
2024	−0.7	−0.6	−1.1	+1.0	−2.0	−3.2	+1.1	−2.1	+1.7	−2.0	+2.8	−3.3	−8.5
2025	+1.5	−1.6	+0.9	−1.5	−2.7	−1.6	−2.8	+0.4	+1.5	−1.9	−0.9	−0.2	−9.0
2026	+1.1	−2.3	+0.2	+1.8	+1.2	−1.7	+2.9	−0.6	−1.4	+1.8	0.0	·	+3.0

Risk

—/10

Observed risk (1–10) uses the higher of two classes: historical drawdown and annualized weekly return variability. At least 26 consecutive weekly returns are required; the last observation week is excluded. These are SocialCharts bands, not a guarantee of future loss limits. A dash means unmeasured.

Max daily drawdown: −2.4%
Max weekly drawdown: −2.4%
Max drawdown · equity: −20.7%
Max drawdown · balance: −20.7%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,967
Longest drawdown: 2427 days · Mar
Recovery factor: −0.8
Max simultaneous risk: 0.0%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+15.7%

Long 44% · Short 56%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 21% · Tue 21% · Wed 20% · Thu 20% · Fri 18% · 60% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 720 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 0% · over 12h 100%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics720 closed trades

Trades720

Won / lost328 / 392

Long win rate50% (314)

Short win rate42% (406)

Avg win+$41.2 · 57.7 pip

Avg loss−$38.5 · −51.4 pip

Best trade+$313 · Jul 30

Worst trade−$224 · Aug 4

Total pips−1,193

Lots72.0

Commission + swap−$579

Expectancy / trade−$2.2

Profit factor0.90

Sharpe−0.53daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.1 (72%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$58.7

AHPR / GHPR−0.02% / −0.02%

Recovery factor−0.8

Winning streak8 (+$404)

Losing streak9 (−$240)

Avg holding time1.3 days

Trades / week2.0

Risk / trade0.0%

Monthly average−0.2%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 1 22:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.989 → 157.444	2.4 days	+45.5	+$28	—
Oct 28 09:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.852 → 157.699	1 days	+15.3	+$9	—
Oct 23 05:00	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.709 → 157.013	1 days	−69.6	−$45	—
Oct 15 17:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.831 → 158.136	1 days	+69.5	+$42	—
Oct 13 09:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.451 → 157.968	1 days	+48.3	+$30	—
Oct 9 17:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.326 → 158.310	1 days	+1.6	+$1	—
Oct 7 21:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.153 → 158.026	1 days	+12.7	+$6	—
Oct 6 05:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.104 → 158.149	1 days	−4.5	−$3	—
Oct 4 21:04	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.118 → 157.636	3 days	+48.2	+$30	—
Oct 1 05:00	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.884 → 158.286	1 days	+140.2	+$87	—
Sep 29 09:00	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.234 → 157.371	1 days	+13.7	+$8	—
Sep 27 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.187 → 157.214	2.2 days	+2.7	+$1	—
Sep 24 05:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.662 → 157.864	1 days	−20.2	−$14	—
Sep 22 17:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.484 → 157.482	1 days	+0.2	$0	—
Sep 17 13:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	155.032 → 155.575	1 days	−54.3	−$36	—
Sep 15 09:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	154.386 → 154.999	1 days	−61.3	−$40	—
Sep 10 01:00	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	153.462 → 153.663	1 days	+20.1	+$12	—
Sep 6 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.314 → 155.950	2.5 days	−36.4	−$24	—
Sep 4 05:00	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.782 → 156.338	1 days	−144.4	−$93	—
Sep 2 13:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	160.104 → 159.592	1 days	+51.2	+$32	—
Aug 30 21:03	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.406 → 160.016	3 days	−61	−$39	—
Aug 27 17:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.359 → 159.294	1 days	+6.5	+$3	—
Aug 25 17:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.166 → 159.300	1 days	−13.4	−$9	—
Aug 20 21:00	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.158 → 158.955	1 days	+79.7	+$48	—
Aug 18 21:00	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.452 → 159.492	1 days	−4	−$4	—

1–25 of 720

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