Fern Island · strategy profile

Fern Island · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−0.2%	−24	4	0
This month	−0.9%	−121	10	3
This year	−6.4%	−899	136	58

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−0.4	+1.0	−1.7	−0.5	−0.2	+0.5	+0.3	−0.1	−1.2	−0.8	+0.6	−1.3	−3.7
2021	−0.4	−0.5	+2.2	+0.3	+0.5	−0.2	−0.8	−0.8	+1.0	+1.1	+0.2	+0.2	+3.0
2022	+0.4	−0.3	+3.3	+1.4	−0.8	+4.0	+0.4	+1.1	−1.9	+0.4	−1.1	+0.9	+8.0
2023	−4.7	+0.8	−0.2	0.0	0.0	−0.1	+0.2	−0.5	−0.9	0.0	+0.9	+0.4	−4.1
2024	+0.8	−0.1	+0.4	+0.1	+0.5	−0.4	−1.4	−1.9	−2.3	+1.8	+1.2	+1.1	−0.2
2025	−2.3	−0.8	−2.2	−4.8	+2.9	−0.7	+1.1	−1.4	−0.8	+2.7	0.0	+1.2	−5.0
2026	−0.8	+0.1	−0.4	−4.5	−1.3	−0.2	+1.0	+0.5	+0.2	−1.0	0.0	·	−6.4

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −18.2%.

Max daily drawdown: −2.9%
Max weekly drawdown: −3.5%
Max drawdown · equity: −18.2%
Max drawdown · balance: −18.2%
Absolute drawdown: −$979
Longest drawdown: 1504 days · Jun
Recovery factor: −0.5
Max simultaneous risk: 3.1%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+8.8%

Long 100% · Short 0%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 22% · Tue 19% · Wed 22% · Thu 18% · Fri 19% · 45% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 986 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 91% · over 12h 9%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics986 closed trades

Trades986

Won / lost470 / 516

Long win rate48% (986)

Short win rate0% (0)

Avg win+$25.1 · 34.7 pip

Avg loss−$24.5 · −33.2 pip

Best trade+$167 · Feb 5

Worst trade−$313 · Sep 22

Total pips−855

Lots98.6

Commission + swap−$337

Expectancy / trade−$0.9

Profit factor0.93

Sharpe−0.40daily returns, annualised

Z-score1.6 (88%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$38.4

AHPR / GHPR−0.01% / −0.01%

Recovery factor−0.5

Winning streak7 (+$140)

Losing streak10 (−$282)

Avg holding time13h 57m

Trades / week2.8

Risk / trade3.1%

Monthly average−0.1%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 2 12:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.905 → 157.842	10h 10m	−6.3	−$4	—
Oct 29 00:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.110 → 157.996	10h 10m	−11.4	−$9	—
Oct 28 11:25	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.925 → 157.913	10h 10m	−1.2	−$1	—
Oct 28 00:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.885 → 157.834	10h 10m	−5.1	−$4	—
Oct 27 13:15	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.717 → 157.807	10h 10m	+9	+$6	—
Oct 26 20:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.372 → 157.500	10h 10m	+12.8	+$8	—
Oct 20 02:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.506 → 158.471	10h 10m	−3.5	−$3	—
Oct 15 00:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.953 → 157.875	10h 10m	−107.8	−$70	—
Oct 12 18:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.470 → 158.649	10h 10m	+17.9	+$11	—
Oct 7 14:15	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.445 → 158.190	10h 10m	−25.5	−$16	—
Oct 1 12:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.157 → 157.967	10h 10m	−19	−$12	—
Sep 24 20:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.764 → 158.890	10h 10m	+12.6	+$8	—
Sep 23 21:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.918 → 158.192	10h 10m	+27.4	+$16	—
Sep 18 14:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.061 → 157.784	10h 10m	+72.3	+$46	—
Sep 16 13:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	155.344 → 155.250	10h 10m	−9.4	−$6	—
Sep 16 01:20	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	155.074 → 155.369	10h 10m	+29.5	+$18	—
Sep 14 20:20	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	154.699 → 154.370	10h 10m	−32.9	−$21	—
Sep 11 06:25	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	154.404 → 154.061	10h 10m	−34.3	−$23	—
Sep 4 14:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.377 → 156.092	10h 10m	−28.5	−$18	—
Sep 2 04:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	160.254 → 160.173	10h 10m	−8.1	−$6	—
Aug 28 17:35	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.507 → 160.157	10h 10m	+65	+$41	—
Aug 27 20:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.490 → 159.395	10h 10m	−9.5	−$6	—
Aug 25 12:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.276 → 159.236	10h 10m	−4	−$3	—
Aug 24 18:10	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.173 → 159.178	10h 10m	+0.5	$0	—
Aug 21 04:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.142 → 159.010	10h 10m	−13.2	−$9	—

1–25 of 986

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