Crimson Birch · strategy profile

Crimson Birch · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	+2	1	1
This week	0.0%	+3	6	3
This month	−1.5%	−206	27	11
This year	−1.7%	−225	187	68

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	+0.1	+1.7	+0.2	−0.8	−0.3	−0.3	+0.7	−0.2	0.0	−0.3	−0.9	+0.1	0.0
2021	−0.6	+0.7	0.0	−0.8	+0.5	−0.7	+0.3	−1.0	−0.2	−1.0	+0.4	−0.5	−2.7
2022	+1.0	−0.3	−0.5	−1.0	−1.6	+1.8	−0.1	−2.1	+1.0	+1.5	−0.5	+0.3	−0.3
2023	+1.1	−2.3	−0.2	−2.6	+0.2	−1.6	−1.3	+0.1	−1.3	+0.4	+2.7	+1.0	−3.9
2024	−1.4	−3.4	+0.6	−1.8	0.0	+0.3	+1.8	+3.0	−0.1	−1.4	−1.3	−2.3	−6.1
2025	−1.4	−0.6	+0.5	+1.8	+0.9	−1.6	+0.6	0.0	−0.6	+1.5	−1.2	−0.1	−0.3
2026	−1.0	+1.6	+0.2	+0.7	−1.3	−1.3	+4.0	−2.6	0.0	−1.8	−0.1	·	−1.5

Risk

—/10

Observed risk (1–10) uses the higher of two classes: historical drawdown and annualized weekly return variability. At least 26 consecutive weekly returns are required; the last observation week is excluded. These are SocialCharts bands, not a guarantee of future loss limits. A dash means unmeasured.

Max daily drawdown: −2.0%
Max weekly drawdown: −2.0%
Max drawdown · equity: −17.9%
Max drawdown · balance: −17.9%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,450
Longest drawdown: 2428 days · Mar
Recovery factor: −0.8
Max simultaneous risk: 0.0%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+14.4%

Long 0% · Short 100%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 20% · Tue 20% · Wed 20% · Thu 20% · Fri 20% · 47% in the London session

Behaviour

from 1,473 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners✓ Rarely holds over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 97% · over 12h 4%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics1,473 closed trades

Trades1,473

Won / lost640 / 833

Long win rate0% (0)

Short win rate43% (1,473)

Avg win+$22.7 · 31.1 pip

Avg loss−$19.2 · −26.1 pip

Best trade+$277 · Jul 30

Worst trade−$181 · Feb 3

Total pips−1,826

Lots147.3

Commission + swap−$151

Expectancy / trade−$1.0

Profit factor0.91

Sharpe−0.57daily returns, annualised

Z-score−1.9 (94%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$30.8

AHPR / GHPR−0.01% / −0.01%

Recovery factor−0.8

Winning streak8 (+$155)

Losing streak11 (−$169)

Avg holding time7h 1m

Trades / week4.1

Risk / trade0.0%

Monthly average−0.2%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 3 06:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.870 → 157.846	5h 25m	+2.4	+$2	—
Nov 2 19:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.817 → 157.844	5h 25m	−2.7	−$2	—
Nov 2 10:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.811 → 157.949	5h 25m	−13.8	−$9	—
Oct 30 14:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.277 → 157.176	5h 25m	+10.1	+$6	—
Oct 30 02:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.672 → 157.497	5h 25m	+17.5	+$11	—
Oct 29 19:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.819 → 157.927	5h 25m	−10.8	−$7	—
Oct 26 07:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.787 → 157.096	5h 25m	−30.9	−$20	—
Oct 23 14:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.793 → 156.741	5h 25m	+5.2	+$3	—
Oct 22 23:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.860 → 156.656	5h 25m	+20.4	+$13	—
Oct 22 15:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.795 → 157.216	5h 25m	−42.1	−$27	—
Oct 22 02:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.122 → 157.992	5h 25m	+13	+$8	—
Oct 21 16:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.025 → 158.111	5h 25m	−8.6	−$5	—
Oct 21 07:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.292 → 158.117	5h 25m	+17.5	+$11	—
Oct 18 21:03	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.989 → 157.934	2 days	+5.5	+$3	—
Oct 16 19:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.755 → 158.004	5h 25m	−24.9	−$16	—
Oct 16 02:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.970 → 158.031	5h 25m	−6.1	−$4	—
Oct 15 15:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.695 → 158.142	5h 25m	−44.7	−$28	—
Oct 14 07:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.382 → 158.260	5h 25m	+12.2	+$8	—
Oct 14 00:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.292 → 158.340	5h 25m	−4.8	−$4	—
Oct 13 14:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.842 → 158.389	5h 25m	−54.7	−$35	—
Oct 9 14:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.088 → 158.350	5h 25m	−26.2	−$17	—
Oct 8 17:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.268 → 157.728	5h 25m	+54	+$34	—
Oct 6 23:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.087 → 158.253	5h 25m	−16.6	−$11	—
Oct 6 17:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.989 → 158.179	5h 25m	−19	−$12	—
Oct 5 20:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.996 → 157.993	5h 25m	+0.3	$0	—

1–25 of 1473

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