Winter Falcon · strategy profile

Winter Falcon · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	−0.2%	−42	2	0
This month	0.0%	+4	7	2
This year	+8.6%	+1,381	74	32

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	0.0	+0.5	−1.6	−1.1	−0.2	−0.4	+1.2	+0.7	0.0	−0.6	−0.5	+1.0	−0.9
2021	−0.1	−0.2	−0.5	+0.2	0.0	−0.3	+1.1	−0.4	−0.1	−0.8	+1.4	−0.4	−0.1
2022	+0.1	+0.6	−0.5	−0.4	+0.1	−0.9	+1.3	−1.1	−1.9	+1.2	+4.3	+1.0	+3.8
2023	+0.8	−1.5	−0.2	−0.2	−0.2	−1.5	−1.9	−0.2	−0.3	−0.2	+0.6	+0.4	−4.4
2024	−1.2	+0.4	+0.2	−0.2	+0.1	−1.0	+1.2	+2.0	−0.4	−0.2	+0.6	−0.3	+1.1
2025	−2.1	+0.1	+1.5	+1.5	+0.4	0.0	+0.2	+0.3	−0.4	+0.1	−0.6	+1.4	+2.4
2026	+2.5	−0.2	+0.3	+1.6	−0.4	−0.7	+3.0	+0.5	+1.7	0.0	0.0	·	+8.3

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −8.2%.

Max daily drawdown: −1.6%
Max weekly drawdown: −1.7%
Max drawdown · equity: −8.2%
Max drawdown · balance: −8.2%
Absolute drawdown: −$854
Longest drawdown: 1082 days · Jul
Recovery factor: 1.2
Max simultaneous risk: 1.6%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+10.2%

Long 0% · Short 100%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 18% · Tue 19% · Wed 22% · Thu 20% · Fri 21% · 50% in the New York session

Behaviour

from 599 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 0% · 4–12h 93% · over 12h 7%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics599 closed trades

Trades599

Won / lost287 / 312

Long win rate0% (0)

Short win rate48% (599)

Avg win+$26.2 · 36.8 pip

Avg loss−$20.8 · −28.2 pip

Best trade+$270 · Jul 30

Worst trade−$159 · Sep 13

Total pips+1,759

Lots59.9

Commission + swap−$124

Expectancy / trade+$1.7

Profit factor1.16

Sharpe0.80daily returns, annualised

Z-score−0.5 (40%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$35.3

AHPR / GHPR0.02% / 0.02%

Recovery factor1.2

Winning streak8 (+$182)

Losing streak9 (−$153)

Avg holding time9h 32m

Trades / week1.7

Risk / trade1.6%

Monthly average+0.1%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Oct 30 07:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.349 → 157.492	6h 25m	−14.3	−$9	—
Oct 29 10:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.716 → 157.996	6h 25m	−28	−$18	—
Oct 22 10:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.704 → 156.947	6h 25m	+75.7	+$48	—
Oct 20 20:38	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.035 → 158.191	6h 25m	−15.6	−$10	—
Oct 15 02:34	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.353 → 157.678	6h 25m	+67.5	+$41	—
Oct 13 15:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.842 → 158.417	6h 25m	−57.5	−$36	—
Oct 9 00:41	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.876 → 158.111	6h 25m	−23.5	−$15	—
Oct 2 14:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.581 → 157.537	6h 25m	+4.4	+$3	—
Sep 30 08:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.741 → 156.953	6h 25m	−21.2	−$14	—
Sep 25 14:32	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.101 → 157.454	6h 25m	+64.7	+$41	—
Sep 22 16:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.866 → 157.595	6h 25m	−72.9	−$46	—
Sep 20 21:04	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.867 → 156.760	2.2 days	+10.7	+$6	—
Sep 11 20:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	153.410 → 153.687	6h 25m	−27.7	−$18	—
Sep 9 12:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	153.294 → 153.358	6h 25m	−6.4	−$4	—
Sep 7 12:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	155.795 → 154.575	6h 25m	+122	+$79	—
Sep 3 10:34	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.796 → 156.425	6h 25m	+137.1	+$88	—
Sep 3 02:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.759 → 158.134	6h 25m	+62.5	+$38	—
Sep 2 12:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.813 → 159.600	6h 25m	+21.3	+$13	—
Aug 31 14:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.568 → 159.785	6h 25m	−21.7	−$14	—
Aug 19 14:26	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.151 → 158.305	6h 25m	+84.6	+$53	—
Aug 14 20:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.952 → 159.332	6h 25m	−38	−$24	—
Aug 7 19:32	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.375 → 157.467	6h 25m	−9.2	−$6	—
Aug 3 05:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.133 → 156.479	6h 25m	+65.4	+$42	—
Jul 31 20:25	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.473 → 158.066	6h 25m	+140.7	+$89	—
Jul 30 14:11	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	163.274 → 158.976	4h 10m	+429.8	+$270	—

1–25 of 599

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