Western Fern · strategy profile

Western Fern · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Starts at 100. Shows end-of-day values and the latest valuation.

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	0.0%	0	0	0
This week	+0.4%	+84	1	1
This month	−1.1%	−187	4	1
This year	−2.5%	−297	47	19

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−1.8	+1.3	−8.1	+1.5	−0.5	+4.4	+0.8	+0.8	−0.2	+1.0	−0.2	−0.9	−1.8
2021	+0.5	+1.9	+0.7	−0.2	+0.2	+0.1	−0.3	−0.6	−0.7	+2.4	+3.4	−0.2	+7.1
2022	−0.6	+1.4	−1.1	−4.9	+1.0	−1.3	+1.8	+0.9	−2.8	−1.4	+1.5	+4.0	−1.4
2023	+3.4	−4.1	−1.5	+0.4	+0.8	−1.3	+3.2	+1.2	+0.7	+0.8	−0.2	+2.3	+5.8
2024	+0.1	+0.8	+0.1	+1.0	+2.8	−2.2	−0.4	−4.8	−1.1	−0.2	+1.6	+1.6	−0.5
2025	−2.5	+1.4	+0.3	+1.6	0.0	+2.3	+2.1	−4.8	+0.8	+5.1	+1.4	+1.6	+9.3
2026	+1.5	+0.8	−1.3	−0.8	+0.1	−0.3	−0.8	−1.3	+1.1	−1.7	+0.1	·	−2.7

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −10.4%.

Max daily drawdown: −3.5%
Max weekly drawdown: −3.4%
Max drawdown · equity: −10.4%
Max drawdown · balance: −10.4%
Absolute drawdown: −$1,193
Longest drawdown: 529 days · Oct
Recovery factor: 1.4
Max simultaneous risk: 0.6%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+15.0%

Long 51% · Short 49%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 20% · Tue 24% · Wed 17% · Thu 19% · Fri 20% · 54% in the London session

Behaviour

from 423 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 0% · 1–4h 3% · 4–12h 15% · over 12h 81%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics423 closed trades

Trades423

Won / lost175 / 248

Long win rate48% (215)

Short win rate35% (208)

Avg win+$93.9 · 132.9 pip

Avg loss−$60.2 · −80.2 pip

Best trade+$216 · Mar 13

Worst trade−$139 · Sep 1

Total pips+3,349

Lots42.3

Commission + swap−$875

Expectancy / trade+$3.6

Profit factor1.10

Sharpe0.70daily returns, annualised

Z-score−1.2 (76%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$86.7

AHPR / GHPR0.04% / 0.03%

Recovery factor1.4

Winning streak7 (+$523)

Losing streak13 (−$573)

Avg holding time4 days

Trades / week1.2

Risk / trade0.6%

Monthly average+0.2%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Nov 2 04:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.107 → 157.942	6.9 days	+83.5	+$49	—
Oct 22 05:45	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.258 → 157.356	5.5 days	−90.2	−$60	—
Oct 15 01:08	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.585 → 157.683	2.6 days	−90.2	−$60	—
Oct 8 17:28	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.420 → 157.518	1.7 days	−90.2	−$59	—
Oct 2 01:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	158.457 → 158.171	6.9 days	+28.6	+$15	—
Sep 24 09:44	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.876 → 158.778	7h 44m	−90.2	−$57	—
Sep 23 13:45	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.156 → 158.058	1.2 days	−90.2	−$58	—
Sep 22 06:47	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.785 → 157.687	3.6 days	−90.2	−$58	—
Sep 18 02:54	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	155.572 → 156.474	13h 54m	−90.2	−$58	—
Sep 16 20:19	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	154.085 → 156.383	6.4 days	+229.8	+$145	—
Sep 3 06:08	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.568 → 157.270	2.9 days	+229.8	+$144	—
Aug 31 07:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.202 → 159.583	6.9 days	+38.1	+$20	—
Aug 19 12:34	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	159.602 → 158.700	1.7 days	−90.2	−$58	—
Aug 17 07:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.674 → 158.892	6.9 days	+21.8	+$10	—
Aug 10 01:54	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.379 → 158.281	2.5 days	−90.2	−$57	—
Aug 7 12:34	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.866 → 156.964	1 days	−90.2	−$58	—
Jul 30 10:14	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	163.945 → 163.043	2 days	−90.2	−$57	—
Jul 28 07:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	162.695 → 163.749	6.9 days	+105.4	+$61	—
Jul 20 04:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	162.280 → 162.357	6.9 days	+7.7	+$1	—
Jul 13 03:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	161.948 → 162.072	6.9 days	+12.4	+$4	—
Jul 2 08:48	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	161.801 → 160.899	3.4 days	−90.2	−$59	—
Jun 25 23:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	161.093 → 161.810	6.9 days	−71.7	−$48	—
Jun 18 03:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	160.495 → 160.595	6.9 days	−10	−$10	—
Jun 10 06:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	159.689 → 160.383	6.9 days	−69.4	−$47	—
Jun 2 00:30	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.977 → 159.675	6.9 days	+69.8	+$40	—

1–25 of 423

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