Kestrel · strategy profile

Kestrel · strategy profile · SocialCharts

Performance

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Period returns

closed trades

Period	Return	Pips	Trades	Won
Today	+0.3%	+267	5	5
This week	−0.2%	−79	23	9
This month	−2.0%	−1,466	104	24
This year	+2.0%	+3,495	982	351

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Year
2020	−5.8	+16.5	+8.5	+2.6	−1.9	−1.9	−0.3	+2.7	−4.5	−0.6	+7.2	+1.2	+23.5
2021	+6.2	+3.0	−1.1	−2.8	−1.4	+2.2	−1.0	+2.2	+6.5	+6.4	+6.7	−1.0	+25.7
2022	+0.3	+1.9	+6.3	+14.4	+0.6	+10.4	+0.6	+6.6	+6.1	+6.7	−0.9	+15.3	+68.1
2023	+4.9	+4.0	+5.9	+0.6	+5.0	−1.7	−3.0	+2.3	+0.2	+0.1	+2.3	+3.1	+23.6
2024	+2.0	−0.8	0.0	+5.5	+1.8	+1.3	+0.5	+1.0	+0.4	+1.6	−0.4	+3.9	+16.9
2025	−0.1	+0.3	−1.2	−0.7	+3.3	+3.1	+2.0	−1.9	+0.9	+5.7	+0.4	+3.0	+14.9
2026	−0.5	+1.5	+0.3	+0.9	−1.2	+0.1	+2.3	+0.3	−0.1	−1.8	·	·	+1.8

Risk

1/10

Low. Small size per trade, a stop on most trades and a maximum drawdown of −21.7%.

Max daily drawdown: −7.6%
Max weekly drawdown: −9.1%
Max drawdown · equity: −21.7%
Max drawdown · balance: −21.7%
Absolute drawdown: −$3,119
Longest drawdown: 311 days · Mar
Recovery factor: 19.8
Max simultaneous risk: 2.1%

Symbol split

90 days

USDJPY

100%+430.1%

Long 54% · Short 46%

Hour and day

trade opens · UTC

Mon 24% · Tue 18% · Wed 20% · Thu 19% · Fri 19% · 48% in the London session

Behaviour

from 7,976 trades

✓ Losers not held longer than winners! Holds positions over the weekend

Holding time: under 1h 1% · 1–4h 14% · 4–12h 25% · over 12h 60%. Automated share 100%.

Statistics7,976 closed trades

Trades7,976

Won / lost3,258 / 4,718

Long win rate44% (4,307)

Short win rate37% (3,669)

Avg win+$68.0 · 95.1 pip

Avg loss−$37.8 · −50.5 pip

Best trade+$330 · Mar 10

Worst trade−$302 · Jan 15

Total pips+71,799

Lots797.6

Commission + swap−$8,921

Expectancy / trade+$5.4

Profit factor1.24

Sharpe1.39daily returns, annualised

Z-score−16.6 (100%)dependence between runs

Standard deviation$63.4

AHPR / GHPR0.01% / 0.01%

Recovery factor19.8

Winning streak14 (+$460)

Losing streak30 (−$661)

Avg holding time2.2 days

Trades / week22.4

Risk / trade0.2%

Monthly average+2.1%

Closed	Symbol	Side	Lots	Entry → exit	Duration	Pips	Result	Note
Oct 30 10:45	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.859 → 157.342	1.6 days	+51.7	+$31	—
Oct 30 07:05	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.900 → 157.645	6.9 days	+74.5	+$44	—
Oct 30 06:20	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.119 → 157.560	7 days	+44.1	+$24	—
Oct 30 05:25	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.955 → 157.655	7 days	+70	+$41	—
Oct 30 03:15	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.951 → 157.220	7 days	+26.9	+$14	—
Oct 29 13:35	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.071 → 157.769	0h 35m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 29 13:35	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.071 → 157.769	0h 35m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 29 06:10	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.408 → 157.895	2.5 days	−48.7	−$33	—
Oct 29 01:53	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.989 → 157.687	12h 23m	−30.2	−$21	—
Oct 29 01:53	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.989 → 157.687	12h 23m	−30.2	−$21	—
Oct 28 19:40	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.278 → 158.024	2.4 days	+74.6	+$46	—
Oct 28 14:20	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.896 → 158.193	21h 50m	+29.7	+$18	—
Oct 28 13:30	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.705 → 158.007	5h 0m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 28 13:24	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.690 → 157.992	4h 24m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 28 13:24	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.690 → 157.992	4h 24m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 27 03:50	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.107 → 157.651	21h 50m	+54.4	+$34	—
Oct 26 05:41	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.787 → 157.089	3h 41m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 26 01:17	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.132 → 156.830	0h 17m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 26 01:17	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.132 → 156.830	0h 17m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 26 00:53	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	156.903 → 157.205	2h 23m	−30.2	−$19	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	157.019 → 156.959	3.4 days	−6	−$5	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	158.212 → 156.959	4 days	−125.3	−$82	—
Oct 25 21:03	USDJPY	BUY	0.1	156.886 → 156.959	2.2 days	+7.3	+$4	—
Oct 23 17:15	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.878 → 156.906	1.6 days	+97.2	+$61	—
Oct 23 17:15	USDJPY	SELL	0.1	157.878 → 156.906	1.6 days	+97.2	+$61	—

1–25 of 7976

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