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EURUSD—
1 storyHigh impact only
Summary language English
Latest news
Nov 3
High impactReserve Bank of AustraliaNov 3AI thesis not measured

RBA raises rate to 4.85% as inflation return slips to late 2027

Source: Reserve Bank of Australia · Nov 3
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AI · systemfrom 1 sources · updated at 14:03

The RBA raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85% in a six-to-three vote. It now expects inflation to reach the top of its 2–3% target range only in late 2027, around three quarters later than previously forecast. Broader price pressures justified further tightening, the Board said, even as the economy slows, housing prices fall and unemployment rises.

Related currencies / asset groups: AUD

ThesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced
  1. The RBA says the higher inflation outlook and continuing upside risks warrant further tightening.

  2. The RBA raised the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.85%; six members voted for the increase and three preferred 4.60%.

    Reserve Bank of Australia
  3. The RBA expects inflation to reach the top of the 2–3% target range in late 2027, around three quarters later than previously forecast.

    Reserve Bank of Australia
  4. The RBA says the economy is slowing, housing prices have fallen significantly and unemployment has risen.

    Reserve Bank of Australia
Counter-thesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced
  1. Limitation: Tightening comes as the economy slows, housing prices fall and unemployment rises.

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Sources

90 days
ReliabilityAvg. move after events
Source reliability considers corrections, primary reporting and consistency with other sources. Price movement is the average absolute change in EURUSD around publication. The two measures are independent.

AI thesis accuracy

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