REVIEW: created by import-candles on 2026-10-23 from Monorex history (digits 5 map); check digits/point_size/pip_size, then activate. Australian Dollar vs Canadian Dollar
AI · systemca.finance.yahoo.com · 1 sourceImpact 3mixed
Canada’s growth stalls in August; September estimate points lower
Canada’s economy stalled for a second month in August, missing the 0.2% growth forecast in a Reuters poll. Gains in retail, manufacturing and construction were offset by weaker wholesale trade and public administration. Statistics Canada’s advance estimate points to a 0.1% September contraction and 1.3% annualized third-quarter growth by industry, below the Bank of Canada’s 2% projection. The September and quarterly figures remain preliminary.
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Canada’s economy stalled for a second month in August, missing the 0.2% growth forecast in a Reuters poll. Gains in retail, manufacturing and construction were offset by weaker wholesale trade and public administration. Statistics Canada’s advance estimate points to a 0.1% September contraction and 1.3% annualized third-quarter growth by industry, below the Bank of Canada’s 2% projection. The September and quarterly figures remain preliminary.
Counter view: Limitation: September and Q3 figures are advance estimates.
AI · systemwww.koreatimes.co.kr · 1 sourceImpact 2mixed
Trump adds Keystone XL to proposed Canada–U.S. trade deal
Donald Trump says a prospective trade deal with Canada would include reviving Keystone XL, with Canada paying for construction, Reuters reports. This adds a pipeline proposal to Mark Carney’s earlier account of continuing negotiations. Canada has not confirmed those terms, and the route to reviving the cancelled project remains unclear. South Bow’s separate Prairie Connector proposal would use some existing Keystone XL pipe; its investment decision is due in 2027.
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Donald Trump says a prospective trade deal with Canada would include reviving Keystone XL, with Canada paying for construction, Reuters reports. This adds a pipeline proposal to Mark Carney’s earlier account of continuing negotiations. Canada has not confirmed those terms, and the route to reviving the cancelled project remains unclear. South Bow’s separate Prairie Connector proposal would use some existing Keystone XL pipe; its investment decision is due in 2027.
Counter view: Limitation: Canadian officials did not confirm Trump’s pipeline terms, and how Keystone XL would be revived remained unclear.
AI · systemInvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 sourceImpact 2mixed
China’s private factories beat forecasts, but price cuts squeeze confidence
China’s RatingDog manufacturing PMI reached 52.0 in October, above the 51.6 Reuters-poll forecast but slightly below September’s 52.1, InvestingLive reports. Output grew at its fastest pace since April, contrasting with the official survey’s contraction. The strength came with discounting: factory-gate and export prices fell, while confidence hit a nine-month low. The surveys cover different firms, so the private-sector result qualifies rather than overturns the broader slowdown.
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China’s RatingDog manufacturing PMI reached 52.0 in October, above the 51.6 Reuters-poll forecast but slightly below September’s 52.1, InvestingLive reports. Output grew at its fastest pace since April, contrasting with the official survey’s contraction. The strength came with discounting: factory-gate and export prices fell, while confidence hit a nine-month low. The surveys cover different firms, so the private-sector result qualifies rather than overturns the broader slowdown.
More from the agenda 6Impact 2Australia’s dwelling approvals rebound, while house approvals fall
Australian dwelling approvals rose 5.1% in September to 17,948, reversing August’s 5.2% fall, the ABS reports. The rebound was uneven: private houses fell 5.3%, while private dwellings excluding houses rose 16.6%. Residential approval value also fell 2.8%. The headline recovery therefore masks weaker house approvals and a different mix of projects; these figures measure permits, not completed homes.
Australian Bureau of Statistics · 1 source · 00:30 UTC
Open the storyImpact 2Carney says Canada–U.S. trade talks will continue in coming weeks
Mark Carney says Canadian and U.S. teams will keep working toward a trade deal in the coming weeks after a conversation with Donald Trump, The Canadian Press reports. Carney describes a prospective agreement that would support jobs and affordability while respecting Canada’s languages, culture and sovereignty. His statement signals continued negotiations ahead of the U.S. midterms; it does not announce a completed agreement or new tariff terms.
medicinehatnews.com · 1 source · Nov 1 00:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 2Oil and rate expectations lift Canadian dollar despite weak GDP
Canada’s dollar reached a six-week intraday high on October 30 as rising oil supported expectations of more Bank of Canada tightening, Reuters reports. It traded at 1.3955 per US dollar, up 0.2%, despite weak growth figures. Scotiabank’s Derek Holt said inflation risk mattered more to the forward-looking central bank. Investors priced roughly a 50% chance of a December hike. This is a dated Friday recap.
www.marketscreener.com · 1 source · Oct 30 18:58 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1Australia’s annual CPI rises to 4.3% in September
The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports annual CPI inflation of 4.3% in September 2026, up from 4.0% in August. Annual trimmed mean inflation rose to 3.6% from a revised 3.5%; August was revised down because of seasonal factors. Monthly CPI increased 0.8% in original terms and 0.6% after seasonal adjustment. Automotive fuel prices rose 9.4% during September as world oil prices increased. The release reports inflation data without making an interest-rate forecast.
www.abs.gov.au · 1 source · Oct 28 00:30 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1Bank of Canada raises policy rate to 2.5% as inflation risks persist
The Bank of Canada raised its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.5% on October 28. It projects inflation averaging 3% in 2027 before returning to 2% in mid-2028, citing persistent energy costs and greater business cost pass-through. Growth has improved, but new U.S. tariffs are expected to slow activity in the fourth quarter. Governing Council said further increases could be needed, while stressing that uncertainty requires a careful approach.
Bank of Canada · 1 source · Oct 28 00:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1Carney tempers expectations for an imminent US–Canada tariff deal
InvestingLive reports that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said Ottawa has not changed its negotiating position, although trade talks with Washington have intensified slightly. Carney attributed progress to the US moving closer to Canada’s stance. Semafor’s sources also challenged suggestions that an agreement was imminent, contrasting with weekend optimism from Kevin Hassett and Donald Trump. No agreement is confirmed in the report; the timing and specific tariff reductions remain uncertain.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 26 20:52 UTC