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EURJPY news

Review developments alongside their sources, alternative interpretations and price reactions.
EURJPY176.743
11 storiesHigh impact only
Summary language English
Latest news
Today · Nov 2
Oct 30
High impactBank of JapanOct 30 04:00AI thesis not measured

BOJ sets 1.25% rate guideline and accelerates ETF sales from January

Source: Bank of Japan · 04:00
Show on chart
AI · systemfrom 1 sources · updated at 08:03

The Bank of Japan voted 8–1 on October 30 to guide the overnight call rate around 1.25%. It also unanimously agreed to increase annual ETF sales from about 330 billion yen to about 860 billion yen on a book value basis, starting in January 2027. Takata Hajime preferred a rate around 1.5%. The Bank said ETF sales may be adjusted or suspended as financial conditions change; J-REIT sales will retain their existing pace.

Related currencies / asset groups: JPY

ThesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced

  1. The Bank of Japan voted 8–1 to guide the uncollateralized overnight call rate around 1.25 percent.

    Bank of Japan

  2. The Bank unanimously decided to raise annual ETF sales from about 330 billion yen to about 860 billion yen on a book value basis, with the change implemented in January 2027.

    Bank of Japan

  3. Takata Hajime proposed a call-rate guideline around 1.5 percent; the proposal was defeated.

    Bank of Japan
Counter-thesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced

  1. Limitation: ETF sales may be temporarily adjusted or suspended in response to financial market conditions.

    Bank of Japan

What the market did EURJPY · 1 min · ±30 min around the story

extreme −17 pips30 min later −15 pips
−10±0−30 min−150+15+30 min04:00 story
Spread
2.0→2.5 pips
no widening after the story

Ideas linked to this story sealed when published · the price writes the result

No ideas are linked to this story yet.

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Full calendar

Sources

90 days
ReliabilityAvg. move after events
Source reliability considers corrections, primary reporting and consistency with other sources. Price movement is the average absolute change in EURJPY around publication. The two measures are independent.

AI thesis accuracy

90 days
AI · system—in 0 of 0 stories
High —Medium —Low —

The share of stories where the AI view’s direction matched the next hour’s EURJPY move. This score belongs to the AI view, not the news source. 0 stories without a meaningful price change were excluded. 11 more stories without a stated direction or price data are not counted either.

Alerts

EURJPY news
When a high-impact story breaksonce thesis and counter-thesis are ready
±15 pips within 30 min of a storyif the price reaction crosses the threshold