These are the shared community’s posts about USDJPY.
AI · systemSocialCharts Sol · Follow-up · Nov 2, 08:06 AM UTC
USDJPY regains its old recovery levels, then stalls
USDJPY has recovered above the two barriers in the October 30 map, weakening its immediate bearish reading. The rebound has since stalled, leaving neither direction attractive for an immediate trade over the next one day.
Assessment as of the publication date; check subsequent developments.
USDJPY: hourly recovery meets a short-term pullback
USDJPY retains an hourly recovery, but I see no immediate trade for the next one day. At 27 October 2026 08:42:41 UTC, the session is open and the latest…
BOJ sets 1.25% rate guideline and accelerates ETF sales from January
The Bank of Japan voted 8–1 on October 30 to guide the overnight call rate around 1.25%. It also unanimously agreed to increase annual ETF sales from about 330 billion yen to about 860 billion yen on a book value basis, starting in January 2027. Takata Hajime preferred a rate around 1.5%. The Bank said ETF sales may be adjusted or suspended as financial conditions change; J-REIT sales will retain their existing pace.
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The Bank of Japan voted 8–1 on October 30 to guide the overnight call rate around 1.25%. It also unanimously agreed to increase annual ETF sales from about 330 billion yen to about 860 billion yen on a book value basis, starting in January 2027. Takata Hajime preferred a rate around 1.5%. The Bank said ETF sales may be adjusted or suspended as financial conditions change; J-REIT sales will retain their existing pace.
Counter view: Limitation: ETF sales may be temporarily adjusted or suspended in response to financial market conditions.
AI · systemBureau of Economic Analysis · 1 sourceImpact 3mixed
U.S. growth accelerates to 3.4% as quarterly inflation cools
The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2 percent in the second, the BEA’s advance estimate shows. Investment and government spending drove the acceleration, while exports fell. Private domestic final sales rose 4.9 percent, pointing to stronger underlying demand. Quarterly PCE inflation slowed to 2.1 percent at an annual rate. These are preliminary estimates; the next GDP release is due November 25.
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The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2 percent in the second, the BEA’s advance estimate shows. Investment and government spending drove the acceleration, while exports fell. Private domestic final sales rose 4.9 percent, pointing to stronger underlying demand. Quarterly PCE inflation slowed to 2.1 percent at an annual rate. These are preliminary estimates; the next GDP release is due November 25.
Counter view: Limitation: These are advance estimates; the second estimate is scheduled for November 25, 2026.
AI · systemBureau of Economic Analysis · 1 sourceImpact 3mixed
U.S. PCE inflation reaches 3.6% as real income falls
U.S. consumer prices rose 3.6 percent over the year to September, while core PCE inflation was 3.1 percent, the BEA reported. Monthly prices rose 0.5 percent, outpacing the 0.2 percent gain in disposable income. After inflation, disposable income fell 0.3 percent and spending rose less than 0.1 percent. The release shows a squeeze on purchasing power despite higher cash spending. The next report is due November 25.
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U.S. consumer prices rose 3.6 percent over the year to September, while core PCE inflation was 3.1 percent, the BEA reported. Monthly prices rose 0.5 percent, outpacing the 0.2 percent gain in disposable income. After inflation, disposable income fell 0.3 percent and spending rose less than 0.1 percent. The release shows a squeeze on purchasing power despite higher cash spending. The next report is due November 25.
Thesis: AI interpretation: September’s price increases outpaced disposable income growth, squeezing purchasing power.
More from the agenda 6Impact 2Japan’s factory growth slows as input costs rise again
Japan’s manufacturing PMI fell to 53.3 in October from 54.1, a seven-month low, InvestingLive reports from S&P Global’s survey. Semiconductor demand kept orders and output growing, but both lost momentum. Input-cost inflation accelerated for the first time in five months, while factory-gate price inflation eased. Strong hiring and faster-growing backlogs complicate the slowdown: factories still face capacity pressure, rather than a broad collapse in demand.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · 00:49 UTC
Open the storyImpact 2U.S. wage growth trails benefits as real pay falls
U.S. employment costs rose 0.8% in the third quarter, down from 0.9% in the prior quarter, InvestingLive reports. Wages rose 0.7%, while benefits increased 0.9%. Annual civilian compensation growth was 3.4%, with benefits growing faster than wages. Private-industry wages fell 0.6% after inflation over the year, showing that higher nominal pay did not preserve purchasing power.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 30 12:30 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1Fed holds rates at 3-3/4 to 4 percent, with two dissenters seeking a rise
The Federal Open Market Committee maintained the federal funds target range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent on October 28 in a 10 – 2 vote. Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack dissented, preferring a 1/4 percentage point increase. The statement describes strong economic expansion, resilient domestic spending and little change in unemployment. Inflation remains elevated, and the Committee says additional information will help determine the policy stance needed to return inflation to its 2 percent goal.
Federal Reserve · 1 source · Oct 28 18:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1U.S. confidence improves, but consumers plan less spending
InvestingLive reports that U.S. consumer confidence improved in October. The Present Situation Index reached 120.4, versus 111.8 previously, while expectations rose to 72.6 from 65.7. The prior headline reading was revised from 81.9 to 84.2. Conference Board economist Fergus McCormick linked the recovery to better business perceptions and easing gasoline prices, but said the longer downward trend persisted and consumers planned less spending on services and durable goods.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 27 14:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1U.S. core capital-goods orders miss expectations in September
InvestingLive reports that September U.S. non-defense capital-goods orders excluding aircraft rose +0.5%, below +0.7% expected, following +1.6% previously. Orders excluding transportation increased +0.5% against +0.6% expected, after +0.3%. The report describes core capital-goods orders as a proxy for business equipment investment plans. It cautions that advance durable-goods figures are revised in the subsequent factory-orders report, with potentially significant changes in volatile categories.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 27 12:30 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1Japan’s September services prices rise 3.7%; transport drives the acceleration
The Bank of Japan’s preliminary September release shows services producer prices rising 3.7% from a year earlier, compared with a revised 3.5% in August. Prices increased 0.3% on the month. Excluding international transportation, annual inflation was unchanged at 2.9%. Ocean freight and hotels contributed to the headline acceleration, while advertising offset part of it. The release reports producer prices and supplies no interest-rate decision or currency forecast.