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EURGBP news

Review developments alongside their sources, alternative interpretations and price reactions.
EURGBP0.83472
9 storiesHigh impact only
Summary language English
Latest news
Today · Nov 2
Oct 30
High impactEuropean Central BankOct 29 13:15AI thesis not measured

ECB holds deposit rate at 2.50% as energy risks deepen

Source: European Central Bank · 13:15
Show on chart
AI · systemfrom 1 sources · updated at 14:50

The ECB kept its three key interest rates unchanged on October 29, leaving the deposit rate at 2.50%. It warned that a larger, longer energy shock is likely to raise inflation and weaken growth. Underlying inflation has remained broadly stable and wages have yet to show a material response, while tighter financing conditions could weigh on both inflation and activity. The Governing Council retained its meeting-by-meeting approach and made no commitment to a future rate path.

Related currencies / asset groups: EUR

ThesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced
  1. The ECB kept the deposit facility, main refinancing and marginal lending rates unchanged at 2.50%, 2.65% and 2.90%, respectively.

    European Central Bank
  2. The ECB says the increased magnitude and duration of the energy shock are likely to drive up inflation and lower growth.

    European Central Bank
  3. The ECB says underlying inflation has remained broadly stable so far and wages do not show a material response at this stage.

    European Central Bank
Counter-thesisNo pair-specific direction statedAI · sourced
  1. Limitation: Tighter financing conditions are likely to weigh on inflation and growth; the ECB is not pre-committing to a particular rate path.

    European Central Bank

What the market did EURGBP · 1 min · ±30 min around the story

extreme −9 pips30 min later −7 pips
−10−5±0+5−30 min−150+15+30 min13:15 story
Spread
1.3→2.3 pips
widened for 1 min after the story

Ideas linked to this story sealed when published · the price writes the result

No ideas are linked to this story yet.

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Sources

90 days
ReliabilityAvg. move after events
Source reliability considers corrections, primary reporting and consistency with other sources. Price movement is the average absolute change in EURGBP around publication. The two measures are independent.

AI thesis accuracy

90 days
AI · system—in 0 of 0 stories
High —Medium —Low —

The share of stories where the AI view’s direction matched the next hour’s EURGBP move. This score belongs to the AI view, not the news source. 0 stories without a meaningful price change were excluded. 9 more stories without a stated direction or price data are not counted either.

Alerts

EURGBP news
When a high-impact story breaksonce thesis and counter-thesis are ready
±15 pips within 30 min of a storyif the price reaction crosses the threshold