REVIEW: created by import-candles on 2026-10-23 from Monorex history (digits 5 map); check digits/point_size/pip_size, then activate. New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar
AI · systemBureau of Economic Analysis · 1 sourceImpact 3mixed
U.S. growth accelerates to 3.4% as quarterly inflation cools
The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2 percent in the second, the BEA’s advance estimate shows. Investment and government spending drove the acceleration, while exports fell. Private domestic final sales rose 4.9 percent, pointing to stronger underlying demand. Quarterly PCE inflation slowed to 2.1 percent at an annual rate. These are preliminary estimates; the next GDP release is due November 25.
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The U.S. economy grew at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, up from 2.2 percent in the second, the BEA’s advance estimate shows. Investment and government spending drove the acceleration, while exports fell. Private domestic final sales rose 4.9 percent, pointing to stronger underlying demand. Quarterly PCE inflation slowed to 2.1 percent at an annual rate. These are preliminary estimates; the next GDP release is due November 25.
Counter view: Limitation: These are advance estimates; the second estimate is scheduled for November 25, 2026.
AI · systemBureau of Economic Analysis · 1 sourceImpact 3mixed
U.S. PCE inflation reaches 3.6% as real income falls
U.S. consumer prices rose 3.6 percent over the year to September, while core PCE inflation was 3.1 percent, the BEA reported. Monthly prices rose 0.5 percent, outpacing the 0.2 percent gain in disposable income. After inflation, disposable income fell 0.3 percent and spending rose less than 0.1 percent. The release shows a squeeze on purchasing power despite higher cash spending. The next report is due November 25.
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U.S. consumer prices rose 3.6 percent over the year to September, while core PCE inflation was 3.1 percent, the BEA reported. Monthly prices rose 0.5 percent, outpacing the 0.2 percent gain in disposable income. After inflation, disposable income fell 0.3 percent and spending rose less than 0.1 percent. The release shows a squeeze on purchasing power despite higher cash spending. The next report is due November 25.
Thesis: AI interpretation: September’s price increases outpaced disposable income growth, squeezing purchasing power.
AI · systemInvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 sourceImpact 2mixed
U.S. wage growth trails benefits as real pay falls
U.S. employment costs rose 0.8% in the third quarter, down from 0.9% in the prior quarter, InvestingLive reports. Wages rose 0.7%, while benefits increased 0.9%. Annual civilian compensation growth was 3.4%, with benefits growing faster than wages. Private-industry wages fell 0.6% after inflation over the year, showing that higher nominal pay did not preserve purchasing power.
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U.S. employment costs rose 0.8% in the third quarter, down from 0.9% in the prior quarter, InvestingLive reports. Wages rose 0.7%, while benefits increased 0.9%. Annual civilian compensation growth was 3.4%, with benefits growing faster than wages. Private-industry wages fell 0.6% after inflation over the year, showing that higher nominal pay did not preserve purchasing power.
More from the agenda 5Impact 1New Zealand firms remain optimistic as pricing intentions rise
InvestingLive reports that ANZ’s October survey showed New Zealand business confidence rising to +53, while expected own activity eased to +46. A net 52% of firms plan price increases over the next three months, the highest since May. Inflation expectations held at 3.3%. ANZ says demand has proved resilient despite renewed oil-price pressure, but warns that firms’ cost expectations start from an already inflated base. Services export intentions reached a 25-year high.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 29 00:15 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1Fed holds rates at 3-3/4 to 4 percent, with two dissenters seeking a rise
The Federal Open Market Committee maintained the federal funds target range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent on October 28 in a 10 – 2 vote. Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack dissented, preferring a 1/4 percentage point increase. The statement describes strong economic expansion, resilient domestic spending and little change in unemployment. Inflation remains elevated, and the Committee says additional information will help determine the policy stance needed to return inflation to its 2 percent goal.
Federal Reserve · 1 source · Oct 28 18:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1RBNZ holds OCR at 2.75 percent in split vote; tightening remains conditional
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand held its OCR at 2.75 percent on October 28, with four members favouring a hold and three a 25-basis-point increase. Annual inflation slowed to 3.7 percent in the September quarter from 4.1 percent in June. The Committee nevertheless expects 4.4 percent in December, largely reflecting fuel futures prices. It says tighter policy is likely but conditional on the outlook, as domestic demand remains subdued and the economic recovery uneven.
www.rbnz.govt.nz · 1 source · Oct 28 01:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1U.S. confidence improves, but consumers plan less spending
InvestingLive reports that U.S. consumer confidence improved in October. The Present Situation Index reached 120.4, versus 111.8 previously, while expectations rose to 72.6 from 65.7. The prior headline reading was revised from 81.9 to 84.2. Conference Board economist Fergus McCormick linked the recovery to better business perceptions and easing gasoline prices, but said the longer downward trend persisted and consumers planned less spending on services and durable goods.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 27 14:00 UTC
Open the storyImpact 1U.S. core capital-goods orders miss expectations in September
InvestingLive reports that September U.S. non-defense capital-goods orders excluding aircraft rose +0.5%, below +0.7% expected, following +1.6% previously. Orders excluding transportation increased +0.5% against +0.6% expected, after +0.3%. The report describes core capital-goods orders as a proxy for business equipment investment plans. It cautions that advance durable-goods figures are revised in the subsequent factory-orders report, with potentially significant changes in volatile categories.
InvestingLive / ForexLive · 1 source · Oct 27 12:30 UTC
◎ Expert forecastUOB Global Economics & Markets ResearchNear a level
UEUOB Global Economics & Markets Research Q4 2026
Price is −0.5% from the expected 0.5600 level
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research places NZDUSD at 0.56 USD for 4Q26F. Updated 25 September; the table does not explicitly specify a period average or closing-price basis.